TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12392736
Played Aug 10Finished
Zdenek Kuksa
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181161012115––
Libor Krasl
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Kuksa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Kuksa above · Libor Krasl below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 74 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Zdenek Kuksa at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Kuksa 1–1 Libor Krasl Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:08What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krasl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kuksa 1489 vs Krasl 1512
Krasl
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuksa 20% vs Krasl 40%
Krasl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuksa 30% vs Krasl 50%
Krasl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuksa -3 · Krasl -1
Kuksa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krasl) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krasl form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuksa 2.00 / Krasl 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krasl)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12392736
Kuksa2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 53 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back24% 11 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Krasl1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 46 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it84% 32 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKuksa1wins
AwayKrasl1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKuksaKraslKuksa − KraslBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match38.539.5−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuksaKraslBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 499 vs 96 / 16850.9%57.1%254 / 499 vs 96 / 168Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KraslKuksa 2.00/Krasl 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krasl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LApr 11 · 08:34Z. Kuksa—11114552L. Krasl—861111113
WApr 11 · 07:30Z. Kuksa—11811113L. Krasl—911841
Z. Kuksa10
WSep 5 · 08:29Z. Kuksa1.80111111113M. Cizek1.91713761LSep 5 · 07:30M. Cizek2.00712118113Z. Kuksa1.73111031182LSep 5 · 07:00Z. Kuksa1.80111371392J. Juppa1.918151111113LSep 5 · 06:00Z. Kuksa2.201011111182S. Kalensky1.61121388113LAug 27 · 16:54Z. Kuksa1.91149931O. Horak1.80121111113WAug 27 · 15:45M. Soukup2.101011111182Z. Kuksa1.67121388113WAug 27 · 14:45O. Horak1.73111191262Z. Kuksa2.001371110113LAug 27 · 13:15T. Hanke2.0011114113Z. Kuksa1.73751161LAug 24 · 16:33M. Bruk1.67611211123Z. Kuksa2.10119116102LAug 24 · 15:30D. Marasek1.61111013113Z. Kuksa2.209121131
L. Krasl10
WAug 19 · 20:29L. Krasl1.40991311113V. Toman2.75111111872WAug 19 · 19:30V. Toman1.834970L. Krasl1.831111113WAug 19 · 19:00L. Krasl1.67116118113K. Farsky2.1081141162WAug 19 · 18:00L. Krasl1.911211139123J. Marhol1.801421111102WAug 11 · 21:13J. Mejzlik2.0096111182L. Krasl1.73111145113LAug 11 · 20:00L. Krasl1.8011147842J. Mejzlik1.916121111113WAug 11 · 18:30M. Drabek2.20119981L. Krasl1.6191111113LAug 11 · 18:00J. Hanacek2.2511115113L. Krasl1.57951181LAug 10 · 20:38L. Krasl2.006440Z. Kuksa1.731111113LAug 10 · 20:00L. Krasl2.00711111152J. Juppa1.73111367113
Upcoming Matches
Z. Kuksa
L. Krasl
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