TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12457379
Played Aug 19Finished
Libor Krasl
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118611114811116
Karel Farsky
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarel Farsky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLibor Krasl above · Karel Farsky below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 87 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Karel Farsky at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Libor Krasl 3–4 Karel Farsky Libor Krasl has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:19What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Krasl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krasl 1526 vs Farsky 1493
Krasl
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krasl 60% vs Farsky 80%
Farsky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krasl 40% vs Farsky 70%
Farsky
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krasl +2 · Farsky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Krasl) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Farsky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrasl 1.67 / Farsky 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Krasl)-1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12457379
Krasl1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 49 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it83% 34 of 41
Farsky2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 34 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back32% 13 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKrasl3wins
AwayFarsky4wins
4 of 7 to a deciderFarsky leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrasl75%3 of 4
AwayFarsky100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krasl4Farsky3n = 7Krasl took 4 of 7
S2Krasl0Farsky7n = 7Farsky took 7 of 7
S3Krasl5Farsky2n = 7Krasl took 5 of 7
S4Krasl4Farsky3n = 7Krasl took 4 of 7
S5Krasl2Farsky2n = 4split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKraslFarskyK − FBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match40.441.9−1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKraslFarskyBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 180 vs 164 / 33657.2%48.8%103 / 180 vs 164 / 336Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KraslKrasl 1.67/Farsky 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.8%
Krasl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krasl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 19 · 19:00L. Krasl—116118113K. Farsky—81141162
WJun 12 · 17:45L. Krasl—12811113K. Farsky—1011561
LMar 7 · 14:45L. Krasl—1116101K. Farsky—61111123
LFeb 27 · 15:30L. Krasl—108111182K. Farsky—121189113
WFeb 22 · 11:15L. Krasl—115411113K. Farsky—81111782
LFeb 21 · 14:30L. Krasl—461671K. Farsky—11111483
LFeb 7 · 16:00L. Krasl—68111172K. Farsky—111135113
L. Krasl10
WAug 19 · 20:29L. Krasl1.40991311113V. Toman2.75111111872WAug 19 · 19:30V. Toman1.834970L. Krasl1.831111113WAug 19 · 18:00L. Krasl1.911211139123J. Marhol1.801421111102WAug 11 · 21:13J. Mejzlik2.0096111182L. Krasl1.73111145113LAug 11 · 20:00L. Krasl1.8011147842J. Mejzlik1.916121111113WAug 11 · 18:30M. Drabek2.20119981L. Krasl1.6191111113LAug 11 · 18:00J. Hanacek2.2511115113L. Krasl1.57951181LAug 10 · 20:38L. Krasl2.006440Z. Kuksa1.731111113LAug 10 · 20:00L. Krasl2.00711111152J. Juppa1.73111367113LAug 10 · 18:30Z. Kuksa2.00111110113L. Krasl1.73861251
K. Farsky10
WSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113LSep 6 · 19:30J. Pina2.10711511143K. Farsky1.67116117122LSep 6 · 19:00K. Farsky1.831159111K. Jirousek1.8371111133LSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123LSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek2.2531161132K. Farsky1.57117119113LSep 1 · 15:00T. Bertho2.001111113K. Farsky1.737450WSep 1 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer1.83991391K. Farsky1.83111111113LAug 27 · 21:08K. Farsky1.5711981142J. Pina2.25511117113WAug 27 · 20:00J. Pina2.2512117282K. Farsky1.571071111113
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