Vit Herrmann vs Martin Drabek 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #12072237

Played Jun 19Finished

Vit Herrmann

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1161178111311––

Martin Drabek

Away

2.25

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingVit Herrmann above · Martin Drabek below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 13-11

Point 78 set 4, 13-11

78 points played in total.

H2H Vit Herrmann 5–4 Martin Drabek Martin Drabek has won 4 of their 9 meetings.

Last 9 · 5–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Herrmann)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Drabek form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsHerrmann 1.57 / Drabek 2.25

Signal prob.60% / 40%

Edge (Herrmann)+1.0pp

Setka Cup · #12072237

Herrmann1.57

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite46% won 31 of 68

Up 2–0, closes it84% 16 of 19

Up 1–0, closes it61% 22 of 36

Drabek2.25

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog33% won 17 of 52

Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 31

Down 0–2, comes back20% 5 of 25

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 9 meetings

HomeHerrmann5wins

AwayDrabek4wins

4 of 9 to a deciderHerrmann leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeHerrmann71.4%5 of 7

AwayDrabekn = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Herrmann7Drabek2n = 9Herrmann took 7 of 9

S2Herrmann3Drabek6n = 9Drabek took 6 of 9

S3Herrmann4Drabek5n = 9Drabek took 5 of 9

S4Herrmann5Drabek3n = 8Herrmann took 5 of 8

S5Herrmann2Drabek2n = 4split evenly

How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home111%

3–1Four sets, home222%

3–2Decider, home222%

2–3Decider, away222%

1–3Four sets, away222%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 9 meetings

MetricHerrmannDrabekH − DBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match41.841.0+0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricHerrmannDrabekBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 345 vs 86 / 24244.1%35.5%152 / 345 vs 86 / 242Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Herrmann

Herrmann 1.57/Drabek 2.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

59.9%

Herrmann · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Herrmann won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record9

WJan 13 · 19:30V. Herrmann—117711123M. Drabek—911118102

WNov 12 · 21:14V. Herrmann—111168113M. Drabek—89111132

LNov 12 · 18:45V. Herrmann—913111162M. Drabek—111589113

LNov 3 · 19:00V. Herrmann—11710111M. Drabek—41112133

LSep 24 · 18:00V. Herrmann—991171M. Drabek—11119113

WSep 17 · 18:30V. Herrmann—1111113M. Drabek—9990

LSep 12 · 18:15V. Herrmann—116101182M. Drabek—811129103

WJan 3 · 13:14V. Herrmann—11116113M. Drabek—971181

WJan 3 · 11:15V. Herrmann—11511113M. Drabek—711841

V. Herrmann10

WSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113 WSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691 LSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113 WSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931 WSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103 WSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103 LSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113 WSep 5 · 09:45V. Herrmann2.0011136113V. Lopata1.739111171 LAug 31 · 20:29V. Herrmann1.9151191152O. Chadima1.80116118113 LAug 31 · 19:45P. Orlowski1.44121211113V. Herrmann2.631014951

M. Drabek10

LAug 11 · 20:43J. Hanacek1.911111113M. Drabek1.807930 WAug 11 · 19:30M. Drabek1.83101111113J. Hanacek1.83127971 LAug 11 · 18:30M. Drabek2.20119981L. Krasl1.6191111113 WAug 11 · 17:30M. Drabek2.0011117113J. Mejzlik1.73871191 LJun 19 · 19:30J. Marhol1.4041111113M. Drabek2.75117571 WJun 19 · 19:00M. Drabek1.91111169123J. Hanacek1.80841111102 LJun 19 · 18:00M. Drabek2.10141112472V. Herrmann1.671271411113 LJun 16 · 20:38P. Maly1.571111129113M. Drabek2.2578141152 LJun 16 · 19:30K. Jirousek1.831114113M. Drabek1.8371240 LJun 16 · 19:00M. Drabek2.75101211111L. Hendrych1.40121013133

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