TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105738
Played Sep 10Finished
Frantisek Schmidtmayer
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012119115118––
Tomas Stejskal
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Schmidtmayer to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Schmidtmayer above · Tomas Stejskal below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 77 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Frantisek Schmidtmayer at 60.1%
77 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Schmidtmayer 2–1 Tomas Stejskal Tomas Stejskal has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:28What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Schmidtmayer
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schmidtmayer 1391 vs Stejskal 1477
Stejskal
Wrong
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schmidtmayer 20% vs Stejskal 60%
Stejskal
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schmidtmayer 20% vs Stejskal 50%
Stejskal
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Schmidtmayer +1 · Stejskal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Schmidtmayer) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stejskal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchmidtmayer 1.67 / Stejskal 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Schmidtmayer)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13105738
Schmidtmayer1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite57% won 67 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it74% 50 of 68
Stejskal2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 17 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back27% 6 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSchmidtmayer2wins
AwayStejskal1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSchmidtmayer leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schmidtmayer2Stejskal1n = 3Schmidtmayer took 2 of 3
S2Schmidtmayer2Stejskal1n = 3Schmidtmayer took 2 of 3
S3Schmidtmayer2Stejskal1n = 3Schmidtmayer took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSchmidtmayerStejskalSchmidtmayer − StejskalBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.333.7+7.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchmidtmayerStejskalBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 448 vs 100 / 21545.8%46.5%205 / 448 vs 100 / 215Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchmidtmayerSchmidtmayer 1.67/Stejskal 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Schmidtmayer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Schmidtmayer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 9 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer—1111113T. Stejskal—9640
LMar 24 · 16:00F. Schmidtmayer—961111102T. Stejskal—111183123
WFeb 20 · 16:00F. Schmidtmayer—12119123T. Stejskal—10611101
F. Schmidtmayer10
WSep 10 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer2.0091111113J. Pina1.73116881LSep 1 · 16:39P. Kotrbacek1.7311101011123F. Schmidtmayer2.00912126102LSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113LSep 1 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.831411581P. Kotrbacek1.8316711113LSep 1 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer1.83991391K. Farsky1.83111111113LAug 28 · 16:45P. Kotrbacek2.38913911113F. Schmidtmayer1.53111111682LAug 28 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.1084111262M. Vana1.671111310113WAug 28 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.808111111113P. Kotrbacek1.9111481372LAug 28 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer1.7381290A. Dvoracek2.001114113LAug 26 · 16:29F. Schmidtmayer2.6371110111V. Toman1.4411612133
T. Stejskal10
LSep 10 · 18:00M. Drabek3.0021311113T. Stejskal1.361111941WAug 31 · 20:38M. Vana1.531181061T. Stejskal2.3871112113LAug 31 · 19:30T. Stejskal2.2031181162M. Vana1.61116119113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460WAug 31 · 17:30T. Stejskal2.20111013113L. Hendrych1.618121161LAug 24 · 12:23T. Stejskal1.3011101081J. Jnr3.4081212113LAug 24 · 11:45T. Stejskal2.00610111182M. Vorel1.73111261113WAug 24 · 10:15J. Jnr2.635720T. Stejskal1.441111113LAug 24 · 09:45J. Hanacek1.9111111112123T. Stejskal1.80137514102WAug 19 · 20:18J. Jnr2.1091180T. Stejskal1.671113113
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