TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105675
Played Sep 10Finished
Martin Drabek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210911116118––
Jan Pina
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeJan Pina to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Drabek above · Jan Pina below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 78 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Jan Pina at 56.0%
78 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:28What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Drabek 1328 vs Pina 1407
Pina
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Drabek 60% vs Pina 40%
Drabek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Drabek 40% vs Pina 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Drabek +1 · Pina -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pina) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pina form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDrabek 1.91 / Pina 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pina)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13105675
Drabek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 10 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back20% 4 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back19% 3 of 16
Pina1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDrabekPinaBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 124 vs 58 / 12132.3%47.9%40 / 124 vs 58 / 121Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PinaDrabek 1.91/Pina 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Drabek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Drabek10
WSep 10 · 19:30F. Schmidtmayer1.83211641M. Drabek1.8311711113WSep 10 · 18:00M. Drabek3.0021311113T. Stejskal1.361111941LAug 11 · 20:43J. Hanacek1.911111113M. Drabek1.807930WAug 11 · 19:30M. Drabek1.83101111113J. Hanacek1.83127971LAug 11 · 18:30M. Drabek2.20119981L. Krasl1.6191111113WAug 11 · 17:30M. Drabek2.0011117113J. Mejzlik1.73871191LJun 19 · 20:38V. Herrmann1.5711118133M. Drabek2.256711111LJun 19 · 19:30J. Marhol1.4041111113M. Drabek2.75117571WJun 19 · 19:00M. Drabek1.91111169123J. Hanacek1.80841111102LJun 19 · 18:00M. Drabek2.10141112472V. Herrmann1.671271411113
J. Pina10
LSep 10 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer2.0091111113J. Pina1.73116881LSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek1.5711127113J. Pina2.255101131WSep 6 · 19:30J. Pina2.10711511143K. Farsky1.67116117122WSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121LSep 6 · 17:30J. Pina2.255141151K. Jirousek1.5711168113WAug 27 · 21:08K. Farsky1.5711981142J. Pina2.25511117113LAug 27 · 20:00J. Pina2.2512117282K. Farsky1.571071111113LAug 27 · 18:30K. Jirousek1.6711811113J. Pina2.10911981LAug 27 · 18:00J. Botka1.611081111113J. Pina2.2012119792LAug 23 · 08:59P. Abraham1.2511116113J. Pina3.75591191
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