TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094546
Played Sep 8Finished
Dmitriy Belanchik
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811211711––––
Denys Kozoriz
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:25 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeDenys Kozoriz to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitriy Belanchik above · Denys Kozoriz below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 50 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Denys Kozoriz at 73.2%
50 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Belanchik 6–14 Denys Kozoriz Dmitriy Belanchik has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:25What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kozoriz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-14 in 20
Kozoriz
Correct
gap of 8 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Belanchik 1219 vs Kozoriz 1349
Kozoriz
Correct
both rated, 130 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Belanchik 40% vs Kozoriz 80%
Kozoriz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Belanchik 60% vs Kozoriz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Belanchik +1 · Kozoriz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Kozoriz)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBelanchik 3.00 / Kozoriz 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Kozoriz)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094546
Belanchik3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 13 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back15% 3 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Kozoriz1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 54 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it80% 43 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBelanchik2wins
AwayKozoriz8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKozoriz leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBelanchik66.7%2 of 3
AwayKozoriz100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Belanchik3Kozoriz7n = 10Kozoriz took 7 of 10
S2Belanchik2Kozoriz8n = 10Kozoriz took 8 of 10
S3Belanchik6Kozoriz4n = 10Belanchik took 6 of 10
S4Belanchik2Kozoriz3n = 5Kozoriz took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBelanchikKozorizB − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.436.7−6.3per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBelanchikKozorizBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 238 vs 273 / 51744.5%52.8%106 / 238 vs 273 / 517Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.534.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozorizBelanchik 3.00/Kozoriz 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Kozoriz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kozoriz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMar 5 · 16:55D. Belanchik—691721D. Kozoriz—111115113
LFeb 28 · 07:55D. Belanchik—67110D. Kozoriz—1111133
LFeb 13 · 05:55D. Belanchik—51111162D. Kozoriz—111149113
LFeb 12 · 17:25D. Belanchik—128791D. Kozoriz—101111113
LJan 31 · 09:25D. Belanchik—5420D. Kozoriz—1111113
LJan 30 · 12:55D. Belanchik—1081171D. Kozoriz—12117113
WNov 26 · 09:25D. Belanchik—1112123D. Kozoriz—310100
WNov 25 · 13:25D. Belanchik—1111113D. Kozoriz—3750
LSep 17 · 10:25D. Belanchik—33111462D. Kozoriz—1111312113
LAug 29 · 08:25D. Belanchik—11670D. Kozoriz—1311113
D. Belanchik10
WSep 8 · 16:25D. Belanchik2.63115189113V. Dobrovolskyi1.44911161192LSep 8 · 14:55D. Belanchik2.00841111K. Tkachenko1.7311117113LSep 8 · 13:25D. Belanchik2.50107111162V. Kheresko1.50121157113WSep 8 · 11:55D. Belanchik2.101111113S. Kryvoshyi1.679990LAug 28 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.201112113D. Belanchik1.6141050WAug 28 · 09:25D. Belanchik1.44911125113O. Maslovskyi2.63115101172LAug 28 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.20111311972O. Maksymkiv1.61915711113WAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652WAug 28 · 04:55D. Belanchik1.40891111113M. Dunas2.7511116552WAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113
D. Kozoriz10
LSep 8 · 16:55D. Kozoriz1.679490K. Tkachenko2.101111113WSep 8 · 15:55D. Kozoriz1.611112113S. Kryvoshyi2.2061030WSep 8 · 14:25D. Kozoriz3.751311113V. Dobrovolskyi1.2511570WSep 8 · 12:25D. Kozoriz1.301114113V. Kheresko3.4061280WSep 2 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv3.75113611D. Kozoriz1.2581111113WSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113LSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:25O. Melnik1.8011113792D. Kozoriz1.91001111113LSep 2 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.251111113D. Kozoriz1.576370LSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113
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