TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094482
Played Sep 8Finished
Denys Kozoriz
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210113––––
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:16 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeDenys Kozoriz to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Kozoriz above · Serhii Kryvoshyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 53 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Denys Kozoriz at 57.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Denys Kozoriz 33–32 Serhii Kryvoshyi Serhii Kryvoshyi has won 32 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:16What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kozoriz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-32 in 65
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kozoriz 1352 vs Kryvoshyi 1269
Kozoriz
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kozoriz 80% vs Kryvoshyi 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kozoriz 60% vs Kryvoshyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kozoriz +4 · Kryvoshyi +1
Kozoriz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kozoriz) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvoshyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozoriz 1.61 / Kryvoshyi 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kozoriz)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13094482
Kozoriz1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 54 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it80% 43 of 54
Kryvoshyi2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 29 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back21% 11 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKozoriz6wins
AwayKryvoshyi4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKozoriz leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKozoriz75%6 of 8
AwayKryvoshyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kozoriz8Kryvoshyi2n = 10Kozoriz took 8 of 10
S2Kozoriz6Kryvoshyi4n = 10Kozoriz took 6 of 10
S3Kozoriz5Kryvoshyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Kozoriz3Kryvoshyi2n = 5Kozoriz took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKozorizKryvoshyiKozoriz − KryvoshyiBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match34.432.6+1.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozorizKryvoshyiBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 515 vs 257 / 56052.8%45.9%272 / 515 vs 257 / 560Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.335.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozorizKozoriz 1.61/Kryvoshyi 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Kozoriz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kozoriz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 04:25D. Kozoriz—6370S. Kryvoshyi—1111113
WSep 1 · 13:25D. Kozoriz—11911113S. Kryvoshyi—511681
WAug 25 · 13:25D. Kozoriz—1111113S. Kryvoshyi—5660
LMay 14 · 05:25D. Kozoriz—111211442S. Kryvoshyi—8101311113
WMay 13 · 18:55D. Kozoriz—11138153S. Kryvoshyi—71111131
LApr 8 · 05:25D. Kozoriz—6020S. Kryvoshyi—1111113
LApr 7 · 17:25D. Kozoriz—121151082S. Kryvoshyi—1071112113
WMar 6 · 10:25D. Kozoriz—1111113S. Kryvoshyi—5960
WMar 5 · 14:55D. Kozoriz—1111113S. Kryvoshyi—8910
WFeb 13 · 06:55D. Kozoriz—13911113S. Kryvoshyi—1111521
D. Kozoriz10
WSep 8 · 14:25D. Kozoriz3.751311113V. Dobrovolskyi1.2511570WSep 8 · 12:25D. Kozoriz1.301114113V. Kheresko3.4061280WSep 2 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv3.75113611D. Kozoriz1.2581111113WSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113LSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:25O. Melnik1.8011113792D. Kozoriz1.91001111113LSep 2 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.251111113D. Kozoriz1.576370LSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:25D. Kozoriz1.911111113K. Tkachenko1.802520LSep 1 · 14:55D. Kozoriz2.00118251O. Melnik1.7361111113
S. Kryvoshyi10
WSep 8 · 13:55K. Tkachenko1.40815371S. Kryvoshyi2.75111311113LSep 8 · 11:55D. Belanchik2.101111113S. Kryvoshyi1.679990WSep 7 · 11:25V. Kheresko2.2051171152S. Kryvoshyi1.61115119113WSep 7 · 09:55S. Kryvoshyi1.281112113V. Salivonchyk3.5061090WSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181WSep 2 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.251111113D. Kozoriz1.576370
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.