TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094615
Played Sep 8Finished
Dmitriy Belanchik
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119119––––
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kryvoshyi to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmitriy Belanchik above · Serhii Kryvoshyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Serhii Kryvoshyi at 57.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Belanchik 17–15 Serhii Kryvoshyi Serhii Kryvoshyi has won 15 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:39What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-15 in 32
Belanchik
Correct
gap of 2 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Belanchik 1207 vs Kryvoshyi 1253
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Belanchik 60% vs Kryvoshyi 80%
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Belanchik 60% vs Kryvoshyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Belanchik -1 · Kryvoshyi +3
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kryvoshyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvoshyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBelanchik 2.10 / Kryvoshyi 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kryvoshyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13094615
Belanchik2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 13 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back15% 3 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Kryvoshyi1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 70 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it83% 60 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBelanchik4wins
AwayKryvoshyi6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKryvoshyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBelanchik75%3 of 4
AwayKryvoshyi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Belanchik4Kryvoshyi6n = 10Kryvoshyi took 6 of 10
S2Belanchik5Kryvoshyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Belanchik4Kryvoshyi6n = 10Kryvoshyi took 6 of 10
S4Belanchik5Kryvoshyi3n = 8Belanchik took 5 of 8
S5Belanchik1Kryvoshyi3n = 4Kryvoshyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBelanchikKryvoshyiB − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.240.9−4.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBelanchikKryvoshyiBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 239 vs 256 / 55844.8%45.9%107 / 239 vs 256 / 558Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.435.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvoshyiBelanchik 2.10/Kryvoshyi 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Kryvoshyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Belanchik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 1 · 05:55D. Belanchik—81111582S. Kryvoshyi—114611113
LMar 21 · 11:25D. Belanchik—61171182S. Kryvoshyi—116118113
WMar 20 · 15:25D. Belanchik—11119123S. Kryvoshyi—9811101
LMar 13 · 10:25D. Belanchik—114791S. Kryvoshyi—91111113
LMar 12 · 18:55D. Belanchik—6750S. Kryvoshyi—1111113
WMar 5 · 17:55D. Belanchik—11511113S. Kryvoshyi—911771
WFeb 21 · 11:25D. Belanchik—51111113S. Kryvoshyi—118871
WFeb 20 · 18:25D. Belanchik—1191512113S. Kryvoshyi—911171082
LFeb 13 · 11:25D. Belanchik—5550S. Kryvoshyi—1111103
LFeb 12 · 15:25D. Belanchik—31111462S. Kryvoshyi—119911113
D. Belanchik10
LAug 28 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.201112113D. Belanchik1.6141050WAug 28 · 09:25D. Belanchik1.44911125113O. Maslovskyi2.63115101172LAug 28 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.20111311972O. Maksymkiv1.61915711113WAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652WAug 28 · 04:55D. Belanchik1.40891111113M. Dunas2.7511116552WAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113LAug 27 · 17:25M. Treschetka2.389111112133D. Belanchik1.531191310112WAug 27 · 15:55M. Dunas2.1061070D. Belanchik1.671112113LAug 27 · 13:55O. Maksymkiv1.831111143D. Belanchik1.8379120WAug 27 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi2.38911661D. Belanchik1.5311711113
S. Kryvoshyi10
WSep 7 · 11:25V. Kheresko2.2051171152S. Kryvoshyi1.61115119113WSep 7 · 09:55S. Kryvoshyi1.281112113V. Salivonchyk3.5061090WSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520
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