TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089243
Played Sep 7Finished
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210119––––
Vasil Salivonchyk
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kryvoshyi to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Kryvoshyi above · Vasil Salivonchyk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Serhii Kryvoshyi at 70.3%
59 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kryvoshyi 8–0 Vasil Salivonchyk Vasil Salivonchyk has won 0 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:43What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Kryvoshyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-0 in 8
Kryvoshyi
Correct
gap of 8 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvoshyi 1227 vs Salivonchyk 1266
Salivonchyk
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvoshyi 40% vs Salivonchyk 60%
Salivonchyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvoshyi 40% vs Salivonchyk 60%
Salivonchyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvoshyi +1 · Salivonchyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Kryvoshyi) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Salivonchyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvoshyi 1.28 / Salivonchyk 3.50
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Kryvoshyi)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13089243
Kryvoshyi1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 66 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it84% 56 of 67
Salivonchyk3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 36 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back32% 16 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKryvoshyi8wins
AwaySalivonchyk0wins
1 of 8 to a deciderKryvoshyi leads 8–0, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvoshyi100%5 of 5
AwaySalivonchyk0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvoshyi5Salivonchyk3n = 8Kryvoshyi took 5 of 8
S2Kryvoshyi6Salivonchyk2n = 8Kryvoshyi took 6 of 8
S3Kryvoshyi7Salivonchyk1n = 8Kryvoshyi took 7 of 8
S4Kryvoshyi5Salivonchyk0n = 5Kryvoshyi took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home450%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricKryvoshyiSalivonchykK − SBasisWins80+8in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match39.525.0+14.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvoshyiSalivonchykBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 556 vs 335 / 62245.7%53.9%254 / 556 vs 335 / 622Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvoshyiKryvoshyi 1.28/Salivonchyk 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.9%
Kryvoshyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kryvoshyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 6 · 14:25S. Kryvoshyi—591111113V. Salivonchyk—11115382
WJul 29 · 08:25S. Kryvoshyi—11117113V. Salivonchyk—381181
WMay 11 · 10:55S. Kryvoshyi—1111113V. Salivonchyk—5780
WMay 10 · 11:55S. Kryvoshyi—11811113V. Salivonchyk—211561
WMar 2 · 09:25S. Kryvoshyi—1111113V. Salivonchyk—3830
WMar 1 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi—91111113V. Salivonchyk—112851
WJan 12 · 08:25S. Kryvoshyi—151111103V. Salivonchyk—173461
WJan 11 · 19:55S. Kryvoshyi—1111113V. Salivonchyk—4950
S. Kryvoshyi10
WSep 7 · 11:25V. Kheresko2.2051171152S. Kryvoshyi1.61115119113WSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520LSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133
V. Salivonchyk10
WSep 7 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv1.80711481V. Salivonchyk1.9111911113WSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113WSep 6 · 17:55O. Sapuzhak2.2010250V. Salivonchyk1.611211113LSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103LSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk2.00126811113V. Kheresko1.73101111472WAug 31 · 10:25V. Salivonchyk1.6791111113M. Treschetka2.10112761
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