TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089319
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleh Maksymkiv
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711119411811––
Vasil Salivonchyk
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVasil Salivonchyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Maksymkiv above · Vasil Salivonchyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Vasil Salivonchyk at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Maksymkiv 34–19 Vasil Salivonchyk Vasil Salivonchyk has won 19 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:03What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Maksymkiv
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-19 in 53
Maksymkiv
Wrong
gap of 15 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksymkiv 1253 vs Salivonchyk 1251
Maksymkiv
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksymkiv 60% vs Salivonchyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksymkiv 60% vs Salivonchyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksymkiv +1 · Salivonchyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Salivonchyk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksymkiv 1.80 / Salivonchyk 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Salivonchyk)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13089319
Maksymkiv1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 129 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it92% 61 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it82% 90 of 110
Salivonchyk1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 36 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back32% 16 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaksymkiv6wins
AwaySalivonchyk4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMaksymkiv leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksymkiv66.7%2 of 3
AwaySalivonchyk42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksymkiv3Salivonchyk7n = 10Salivonchyk took 7 of 10
S2Maksymkiv4Salivonchyk6n = 10Salivonchyk took 6 of 10
S3Maksymkiv7Salivonchyk3n = 10Maksymkiv took 7 of 10
S4Maksymkiv4Salivonchyk5n = 9Salivonchyk took 5 of 9
S5Maksymkiv4Salivonchyk1n = 5Maksymkiv took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaksymkivSalivonchykM − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.745.3−3.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksymkivSalivonchykBasisWin rate · lifetime378 / 721 vs 335 / 62352.4%53.8%378 / 721 vs 335 / 623Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SalivonchykMaksymkiv 1.80/Salivonchyk 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Salivonchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Salivonchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 15:55O. Maksymkiv—7171111113V. Salivonchyk—11196892
LAug 31 · 04:25O. Maksymkiv—115111122V. Salivonchyk—911811143
WAug 30 · 16:55O. Maksymkiv—481111143V. Salivonchyk—111198122
WAug 23 · 16:25O. Maksymkiv—6181218113V. Salivonchyk—1116102082
LAug 17 · 06:25O. Maksymkiv—5620V. Salivonchyk—1111113
LAug 10 · 07:25O. Maksymkiv—911541V. Salivonchyk—11811113
LJul 19 · 12:25O. Maksymkiv—2101281V. Salivonchyk—111210113
WJun 15 · 04:25O. Maksymkiv—1111117113V. Salivonchyk—13471162
WJun 14 · 17:25O. Maksymkiv—11114133V. Salivonchyk—9911111
WMay 25 · 05:55O. Maksymkiv—11812123V. Salivonchyk—11110101
O. Maksymkiv10
WSep 7 · 08:55H. Oliynyk1.289880O. Maksymkiv3.501111113LSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113WSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861WSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113LSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141
V. Salivonchyk10
LSep 7 · 09:55S. Kryvoshyi1.281112113V. Salivonchyk3.5061090WSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113WSep 6 · 17:55O. Sapuzhak2.2010250V. Salivonchyk1.611211113LSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103LSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk2.00126811113V. Kheresko1.73101111472WAug 31 · 10:25V. Salivonchyk1.6791111113M. Treschetka2.10112761
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