TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094596
Played Sep 8Finished
Denys Kozoriz
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161412118––––
Vsevolod Kheresko
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeDenys Kozoriz to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Kozoriz above · Vsevolod Kheresko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 62 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Denys Kozoriz at 71.2%
62 points played in total.
H2H Denys Kozoriz 5–2 Vsevolod Kheresko Vsevolod Kheresko has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kozoriz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Kozoriz
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kozoriz 1328 vs Kheresko 1220
Kozoriz
Correct
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kozoriz 60% vs Kheresko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kozoriz 60% vs Kheresko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kozoriz +2 · Kheresko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kozoriz) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kheresko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozoriz 1.30 / Kheresko 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Kozoriz)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094596
Kozoriz1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 54 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it80% 43 of 54
Kheresko3.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 58 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKozoriz5wins
AwayKheresko2wins
Kozoriz leads 5–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKozoriz80%4 of 5
AwayKhereskon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kozoriz5Kheresko2n = 7Kozoriz took 5 of 7
S2Kozoriz5Kheresko2n = 7Kozoriz took 5 of 7
S3Kozoriz3Kheresko4n = 7Kheresko took 4 of 7
S4Kozoriz4Kheresko2n = 6Kozoriz took 4 of 6
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home457%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKozorizKhereskoKozoriz − KhereskoBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match38.430.1+8.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozorizKhereskoBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 523 vs 208 / 41552.8%50.1%276 / 523 vs 208 / 415Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozorizKozoriz 1.30/Kheresko 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Kozoriz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kozoriz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 2 · 09:55D. Kozoriz—121111113V. Kheresko—1091351
WSep 1 · 11:55D. Kozoriz—91111113V. Kheresko—116431
LAug 26 · 06:55D. Kozoriz—116541V. Kheresko—91111113
WAug 25 · 17:25D. Kozoriz—11119113V. Kheresko—671151
LAug 12 · 08:25D. Kozoriz—9111181V. Kheresko—11132113
WAug 11 · 12:25D. Kozoriz—1111113V. Kheresko—6420
WDec 18 · 19:55D. Kozoriz—11119113V. Kheresko—391171
D. Kozoriz10
WSep 2 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv3.75113611D. Kozoriz1.2581111113WSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113LSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:25O. Melnik1.8011113792D. Kozoriz1.91001111113LSep 2 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.251111113D. Kozoriz1.576370LSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:25D. Kozoriz1.911111113K. Tkachenko1.802520LSep 1 · 14:55D. Kozoriz2.00118251O. Melnik1.7361111113WSep 1 · 13:25D. Kozoriz1.5711911113S. Kryvoshyi2.25511681WSep 1 · 11:55D. Kozoriz1.5091111113V. Kheresko2.50116431
V. Kheresko10
WSep 8 · 13:25D. Belanchik2.50107111162V. Kheresko1.50121157113LSep 7 · 11:25V. Kheresko2.2051171152S. Kryvoshyi1.61115119113WSep 7 · 09:25M. Treschetka2.2091111582V. Kheresko1.61113411113LSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113LSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163LSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113LSep 1 · 11:55D. Kozoriz1.5091111113V. Kheresko2.50116431
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.