TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089241
Played Sep 7Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911113114511811
Vsevolod Kheresko
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeVsevolod Kheresko to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Vsevolod Kheresko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 84 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Vsevolod Kheresko at 55.5%
84 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 18–16 Vsevolod Kheresko Vsevolod Kheresko has won 16 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:43What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kheresko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-16 in 34
Treschetka
Wrong
gap of 2 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1163 vs Kheresko 1222
Kheresko
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 20% vs Kheresko 60%
Kheresko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 50% vs Kheresko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka -4 · Kheresko -1
Treschetka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kheresko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Treschetka form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 2.20 / Kheresko 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kheresko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13089241
Treschetka2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 93 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back13% 9 of 72
Kheresko1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 93 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it95% 61 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it79% 77 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTreschetka4wins
AwayKheresko6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKheresko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetka60%3 of 5
AwayKheresko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka5Kheresko5n = 10split evenly
S2Treschetka6Kheresko4n = 10Treschetka took 6 of 10
S3Treschetka5Kheresko5n = 10split evenly
S4Treschetka4Kheresko4n = 8split evenly
S5Treschetka1Kheresko4n = 5Kheresko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTreschetkaKhereskoT − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.037.3+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaKhereskoBasisWin rate · lifetime479 / 952 vs 207 / 41350.3%50.1%479 / 952 vs 207 / 413Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhereskoTreschetka 2.20/Kheresko 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Kheresko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kheresko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka—861241V. Kheresko—111110113
LAug 20 · 05:55M. Treschetka—51271192V. Kheresko—1110119113
LAug 19 · 04:25M. Treschetka—90100V. Kheresko—1111123
WAug 10 · 04:55M. Treschetka—11114113V. Kheresko—271161
LAug 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka—1181110112V. Kheresko—611412133
WAug 2 · 14:25M. Treschetka—1111113V. Kheresko—6530
WAug 1 · 04:55M. Treschetka—611119113V. Kheresko—11471152
LJul 26 · 16:55M. Treschetka—411111022V. Kheresko—117512113
WJul 20 · 09:25M. Treschetka—11116113V. Kheresko—271191
LJul 13 · 04:55M. Treschetka—111121162V. Kheresko—413116113
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.201111113M. Treschetka4.337780LSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520WSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113
V. Kheresko10
LSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113LSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 13:25O. Sapuzhak3.50611641V. Kheresko1.2811911113LSep 6 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk2.00126811113V. Kheresko1.73101111472LSep 2 · 11:25O. Melnik1.73118117113V. Kheresko2.0081181192LSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Treschetka
Nothing scheduled
V. Kheresko
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