TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094718
Played Sep 8Finished
Denys Kozoriz
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311115117––––
Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:53 and never touched — 73.8% is still 73.8%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Dobrovolskyi to win
73.8%
73.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDenys Kozoriz above · Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 58 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi at 73.8%
58 points played in total.
H2H Denys Kozoriz 10–27 Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi Denys Kozoriz has won 10 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:53What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Dobrovolskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-27 in 37
Dobrovolskyi
Wrong
gap of 17 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kozoriz 1337 vs Dobrovolskyi 1357
Dobrovolskyi
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kozoriz 80% vs Dobrovolskyi 20%
Kozoriz
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kozoriz 60% vs Dobrovolskyi 10%
Kozoriz
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kozoriz +3 · Dobrovolskyi +1
Kozoriz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Dobrovolskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dobrovolskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozoriz 3.75 / Dobrovolskyi 1.25
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Dobrovolskyi)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13094718
Kozoriz3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 35 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 50
Dobrovolskyi1.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite74% won 57 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it88% 43 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKozoriz1wins
AwayDobrovolskyi9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDobrovolskyi leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKozorizn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDobrovolskyi100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kozoriz2Dobrovolskyi8n = 10Dobrovolskyi took 8 of 10
S2Kozoriz3Dobrovolskyi7n = 10Dobrovolskyi took 7 of 10
S3Kozoriz2Dobrovolskyi8n = 10Dobrovolskyi took 8 of 10
S4Kozoriz0Dobrovolskyi3n = 3Dobrovolskyi took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricKozorizDobrovolskyiK − DBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match21.936.0−14.1per matchSweeps16−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozorizDobrovolskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 514 vs 202 / 42552.7%47.5%271 / 514 vs 202 / 425Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.334.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DobrovolskyiKozoriz 3.75/Dobrovolskyi 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.8%
Dobrovolskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kozoriz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 26 · 05:55D. Kozoriz—1720V. Dobrovolskyi—1111113
LJul 25 · 18:55D. Kozoriz—3140V. Dobrovolskyi—1111113
LJul 24 · 21:15D. Kozoriz—814981V. Dobrovolskyi—111211113
WJul 19 · 10:25D. Kozoriz—1111113V. Dobrovolskyi—7860
LJul 18 · 12:25D. Kozoriz—115631V. Dobrovolskyi—81111113
LJul 5 · 09:54D. Kozoriz—111149122V. Dobrovolskyi—1171211143
LJul 5 · 07:55D. Kozoriz—6510V. Dobrovolskyi—1111113
LJul 4 · 18:55D. Kozoriz—4430V. Dobrovolskyi—1111113
LJul 4 · 01:43D. Kozoriz—8430V. Dobrovolskyi—1111113
LJul 4 · 24:45D. Kozoriz—7660V. Dobrovolskyi—1111113
D. Kozoriz10
WSep 8 · 15:55D. Kozoriz1.611112113S. Kryvoshyi2.2061030WSep 8 · 12:25D. Kozoriz1.301114113V. Kheresko3.4061280WSep 2 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv3.75113611D. Kozoriz1.2581111113WSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113LSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:25O. Melnik1.8011113792D. Kozoriz1.91001111113LSep 2 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.251111113D. Kozoriz1.576370LSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:25D. Kozoriz1.911111113K. Tkachenko1.802520LSep 1 · 14:55D. Kozoriz2.00118251O. Melnik1.7361111113
V. Dobrovolskyi10
WSep 8 · 15:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.5311114113V. Kheresko2.38941171WSep 8 · 12:55V. Dobrovolskyi1.4021111113K. Tkachenko2.75117781LSep 1 · 19:05M. Slozka1.30121011113V. Dobrovolskyi3.401012381LSep 1 · 17:35V. Dobrovolskyi3.2511156732D. Maltsev1.335131111113LSep 1 · 15:35I. Pytsko1.2211119113V. Dobrovolskyi4.00771171LSep 1 · 13:35M. Potapov1.281111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.505460LSep 1 · 12:35V. Moshovskyi1.3611118113V. Dobrovolskyi3.00851131LSep 1 · 02:30I. Pytsko1.251171113113V. Dobrovolskyi3.7581181582LSep 1 · 01:30M. Slozka1.361111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.005510LSep 1 · 24:00V. Korobko1.831111113V. Dobrovolskyi1.836560
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.