TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094490
Played Sep 8Finished
Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119114411117––
Vsevolod Kheresko
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:16 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Dobrovolskyi to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Dobrovolskyi above · Vsevolod Kheresko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 68 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi at 57.7%
68 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:16What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Dobrovolskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Dobrovolskyi 1342 vs Kheresko 1222
Dobrovolskyi
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dobrovolskyi 20% vs Kheresko 40%
Kheresko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dobrovolskyi 10% vs Kheresko 60%
Kheresko
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dobrovolskyi -1 · Kheresko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Dobrovolskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dobrovolskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDobrovolskyi 1.53 / Kheresko 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Dobrovolskyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13094490
Dobrovolskyi1.53
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite74% won 57 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it88% 43 of 49
Kheresko2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 58 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDobrovolskyiKhereskoBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 426 vs 209 / 41747.4%50.1%202 / 426 vs 209 / 417Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DobrovolskyiDobrovolskyi 1.53/Kheresko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Dobrovolskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dobrovolskyi won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Dobrovolskyi10
LSep 8 · 16:25D. Belanchik2.63115189113V. Dobrovolskyi1.44911161192LSep 8 · 14:25D. Kozoriz3.751311113V. Dobrovolskyi1.2511570WSep 8 · 12:55V. Dobrovolskyi1.4021111113K. Tkachenko2.75117781LSep 1 · 19:05M. Slozka1.30121011113V. Dobrovolskyi3.401012381LSep 1 · 17:35V. Dobrovolskyi3.2511156732D. Maltsev1.335131111113LSep 1 · 15:35I. Pytsko1.2211119113V. Dobrovolskyi4.00771171LSep 1 · 13:35M. Potapov1.281111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.505460LSep 1 · 12:35V. Moshovskyi1.3611118113V. Dobrovolskyi3.00851131LSep 1 · 02:30I. Pytsko1.251171113113V. Dobrovolskyi3.7581181582LSep 1 · 01:30M. Slozka1.361111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.005510
V. Kheresko10
WSep 8 · 13:25D. Belanchik2.50107111162V. Kheresko1.50121157113LSep 8 · 12:25D. Kozoriz1.301114113V. Kheresko3.4061280LSep 7 · 11:25V. Kheresko2.2051171152S. Kryvoshyi1.61115119113WSep 7 · 09:25M. Treschetka2.2091111582V. Kheresko1.61113411113LSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113LSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113
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