TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094605
Played Sep 8Finished
Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
211117117118––
Kyrylo Tkachenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Dobrovolskyi to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Dobrovolskyi above · Kyrylo Tkachenko below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 68 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi at 61.9%
68 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi 4–0 Kyrylo Tkachenko Kyrylo Tkachenko has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:38What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Dobrovolskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Dobrovolskyi
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dobrovolskyi 1343 vs Tkachenko 1404
Tkachenko
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dobrovolskyi 0% vs Tkachenko 60%
Tkachenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dobrovolskyi 0% vs Tkachenko 70%
Tkachenko
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dobrovolskyi -5 · Tkachenko +1
Dobrovolskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Dobrovolskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkachenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDobrovolskyi 1.40 / Tkachenko 2.75
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Dobrovolskyi)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13094605
Dobrovolskyi1.40
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite74% won 57 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it88% 43 of 49
Tkachenko2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog22% won 7 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back15% 3 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeDobrovolskyi4wins
AwayTkachenko0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderDobrovolskyi leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDobrovolskyi100%3 of 3
AwayTkachenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dobrovolskyi3Tkachenko1n = 4Dobrovolskyi took 3 of 4
S2Dobrovolskyi4Tkachenko0n = 4Dobrovolskyi took 4 of 4
S3Dobrovolskyi3Tkachenko1n = 4Dobrovolskyi took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricDobrovolskyiTkachenkoD − TBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match39.029.5+9.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDobrovolskyiTkachenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 424 vs 96 / 17447.4%55.2%201 / 424 vs 96 / 174Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DobrovolskyiDobrovolskyi 1.40/Tkachenko 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.9%
Dobrovolskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dobrovolskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 11 · 14:25V. Dobrovolskyi—81111113K. Tkachenko—119851
WApr 21 · 12:25V. Dobrovolskyi—111169113K. Tkachenko—66111192
WDec 4 · 15:25V. Dobrovolskyi—1111113K. Tkachenko—3690
WNov 21 · 13:55V. Dobrovolskyi—1111123K. Tkachenko—59100
V. Dobrovolskyi10
LSep 1 · 19:05M. Slozka1.30121011113V. Dobrovolskyi3.401012381LSep 1 · 17:35V. Dobrovolskyi3.2511156732D. Maltsev1.335131111113LSep 1 · 15:35I. Pytsko1.2211119113V. Dobrovolskyi4.00771171LSep 1 · 13:35M. Potapov1.281111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.505460LSep 1 · 12:35V. Moshovskyi1.3611118113V. Dobrovolskyi3.00851131LSep 1 · 02:30I. Pytsko1.251171113113V. Dobrovolskyi3.7581181582LSep 1 · 01:30M. Slozka1.361111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.005510LSep 1 · 24:00V. Korobko1.831111113V. Dobrovolskyi1.836560LAug 31 · 22:00M. Potapov1.401111113V. Dobrovolskyi2.756940LAug 31 · 20:00V. Moshovskyi1.281111148113V. Dobrovolskyi3.50136121142
K. Tkachenko10
LSep 8 · 13:55K. Tkachenko1.40815371S. Kryvoshyi2.75111311113WSep 1 · 18:25K. Tkachenko1.251111113V. Kheresko3.758870LSep 1 · 16:25D. Kozoriz1.911111113K. Tkachenko1.802520LSep 1 · 15:25K. Tkachenko1.369111081S. Kryvoshyi3.0011512113WSep 1 · 14:25A. Didyk2.20611121092K. Tkachenko1.611161012113WSep 1 · 12:55K. Tkachenko1.201211113O. Melnik4.3310440WAug 18 · 18:25K. Tkachenko2.501211113M. Styranets1.5010970WAug 18 · 16:25S. Kryvoshyi2.7516770K. Tkachenko1.401811113WAug 18 · 15:25K. Tkachenko1.301111113V. Kheresko3.403470LAug 18 · 14:25A. Didyk2.501111113K. Tkachenko1.507740
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