TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094715
Played Sep 8Finished
Dmitriy Belanchik
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1195111816911119
Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:49 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Dobrovolskyi to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmitriy Belanchik above · Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 18-16
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 110 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi at 64.5%
110 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Belanchik 1–3 Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi Dmitriy Belanchik has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:49What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Dobrovolskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Dobrovolskyi
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Belanchik 1204 vs Dobrovolskyi 1350
Dobrovolskyi
Wrong
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Belanchik 40% vs Dobrovolskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Belanchik 50% vs Dobrovolskyi 20%
Belanchik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Belanchik -2 · Dobrovolskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Dobrovolskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dobrovolskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBelanchik 2.63 / Dobrovolskyi 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Dobrovolskyi)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13094715
Belanchik2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 13 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back15% 3 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Dobrovolskyi1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite74% won 57 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it88% 43 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBelanchik1wins
AwayDobrovolskyi3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderDobrovolskyi leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Belanchik2Dobrovolskyi2n = 4split evenly
S2Belanchik1Dobrovolskyi3n = 4Dobrovolskyi took 3 of 4
S3Belanchik2Dobrovolskyi2n = 4split evenly
S4Belanchik0Dobrovolskyi4n = 4Dobrovolskyi took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBelanchikDobrovolskyiB − DBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match36.845.8−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBelanchikDobrovolskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 237 vs 203 / 42744.3%47.5%105 / 237 vs 203 / 427Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.434.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DobrovolskyiBelanchik 2.63/Dobrovolskyi 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Dobrovolskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Belanchik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LFeb 21 · 06:55D. Belanchik—4414141V. Dobrovolskyi—111112163
WFeb 20 · 12:55D. Belanchik—111683113V. Dobrovolskyi—814111182
LFeb 13 · 07:55D. Belanchik—3411101V. Dobrovolskyi—11114113
LFeb 12 · 16:25D. Belanchik—1151261V. Dobrovolskyi—81114113
D. Belanchik10
LSep 8 · 14:55D. Belanchik2.00841111K. Tkachenko1.7311117113LSep 8 · 13:25D. Belanchik2.50107111162V. Kheresko1.50121157113WSep 8 · 11:55D. Belanchik2.101111113S. Kryvoshyi1.679990LAug 28 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.201112113D. Belanchik1.6141050WAug 28 · 09:25D. Belanchik1.44911125113O. Maslovskyi2.63115101172LAug 28 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.20111311972O. Maksymkiv1.61915711113WAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652WAug 28 · 04:55D. Belanchik1.40891111113M. Dunas2.7511116552WAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113LAug 27 · 17:25M. Treschetka2.389111112133D. Belanchik1.531191310112
V. Dobrovolskyi10
WSep 8 · 15:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.5311114113V. Kheresko2.38941171LSep 8 · 14:25D. Kozoriz3.751311113V. Dobrovolskyi1.2511570WSep 8 · 12:55V. Dobrovolskyi1.4021111113K. Tkachenko2.75117781LSep 1 · 19:05M. Slozka1.30121011113V. Dobrovolskyi3.401012381LSep 1 · 17:35V. Dobrovolskyi3.2511156732D. Maltsev1.335131111113LSep 1 · 15:35I. Pytsko1.2211119113V. Dobrovolskyi4.00771171LSep 1 · 13:35M. Potapov1.281111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.505460LSep 1 · 12:35V. Moshovskyi1.3611118113V. Dobrovolskyi3.00851131LSep 1 · 02:30I. Pytsko1.251171113113V. Dobrovolskyi3.7581181582LSep 1 · 01:30M. Slozka1.361111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.005510
Upcoming Matches
D. Belanchik
V. Dobrovolskyi
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.