TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055392
Played Sep 1Finished
Vadym Ishchuk
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11511610121311––
Maksym Tiutiunnyk
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Tiutiunnyk to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVadym Ishchuk above · Maksym Tiutiunnyk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 79 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Maksym Tiutiunnyk at 62.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Vadym Ishchuk 3–7 Maksym Tiutiunnyk Vadym Ishchuk has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:46What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ishchuk 1599 vs Tiutiunnyk 1516
Ishchuk
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ishchuk 40% vs Tiutiunnyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ishchuk 50% vs Tiutiunnyk 30%
Ishchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ishchuk -3 · Tiutiunnyk -2
Ishchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Tiutiunnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tiutiunnyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIshchuk 2.38 / Tiutiunnyk 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Tiutiunnyk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13055392
Ishchuk2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 20 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 24
Tiutiunnyk1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 56 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIshchuk3wins
AwayTiutiunnyk7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderTiutiunnyk leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIshchuk40%2 of 5
AwayTiutiunnyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ishchuk5Tiutiunnyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Ishchuk2Tiutiunnyk8n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 8 of 10
S3Ishchuk5Tiutiunnyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Ishchuk4Tiutiunnyk4n = 8split evenly
S5Ishchuk2Tiutiunnyk4n = 6Tiutiunnyk took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricIshchukTiutiunnykI − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.942.9−2.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIshchukTiutiunnykBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 360 vs 169 / 36042.8%46.9%154 / 360 vs 169 / 360Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TiutiunnykIshchuk 2.38/Tiutiunnyk 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Tiutiunnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ishchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 10 · 05:00V. Ishchuk—591181M. Tiutiunnyk—11114113
WMay 9 · 17:40V. Ishchuk—1171111143M. Tiutiunnyk—911138122
LApr 26 · 06:00V. Ishchuk—101411492M. Tiutiunnyk—1212411113
LApr 25 · 13:10V. Ishchuk—2660M. Tiutiunnyk—1111113
LOct 8 · 13:10V. Ishchuk—11911552M. Tiutiunnyk—611611113
WSep 23 · 05:50V. Ishchuk—11711123M. Tiutiunnyk—6117101
WAug 12 · 12:20V. Ishchuk—911711113M. Tiutiunnyk—11511972
LJun 23 · 16:20V. Ishchuk—1151110112M. Tiutiunnyk—511912133
LMay 29 · 16:50V. Ishchuk—1111110M. Tiutiunnyk—1313123
LFeb 28 · 08:50V. Ishchuk—118121162M. Tiutiunnyk—611145103
V. Ishchuk10
WSep 1 · 16:40A. Kotiash2.1041050V. Ishchuk1.671112113WSep 1 · 15:40V. Ishchuk1.73911119133O. Karpenko2.00119911112LSep 1 · 14:40V. Ishchuk2.2591450R. Sopivnyk1.571116113LSep 1 · 11:10V. Ishchuk2.201111101262Y. Holoborodko1.611391210113LAug 14 · 12:05R. Sopivnyk1.6711119113V. Ishchuk2.10671171LAug 14 · 10:35V. Ishchuk1.50461171A. Troyan2.5011118113WAug 14 · 08:35Y. Holoborodko1.57612111172V. Ishchuk2.251110813113WAug 14 · 06:35Y. Kovshun2.104360V. Ishchuk1.671111113WAug 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.53671191V. Ishchuk2.3811117113WAug 1 · 11:05A. Troyan2.50612121192V. Ishchuk1.501114107113
M. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 3 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.571011115113D. Habrelyan2.2512781162LSep 3 · 15:10O. Zhyrnov1.53111110113M. Tiutiunnyk2.38751261WSep 3 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk2.10671111113Y. Holoborodko1.6711116562WSep 3 · 13:10O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114372M. Tiutiunnyk2.20471111113LSep 3 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.001211910102O. Nadporozhskyi1.731091112123WSep 2 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko1.731169101M. Tiutiunnyk2.0091111123LSep 2 · 16:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.61111061182D. Habrelyan2.20812115113LSep 2 · 14:10O. Zhyrnov1.611111113M. Tiutiunnyk2.203870WSep 2 · 12:10O. Karpenko2.63111611692M. Tiutiunnyk1.445141311113WSep 2 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko1.73111071162M. Tiutiunnyk2.00412118113
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