TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12428569
Played Aug 14Finished
Ruslan Sopivnyk
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116117911117––
Vadym Ishchuk
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRuslan Sopivnyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRuslan Sopivnyk above · Vadym Ishchuk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 73 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Ruslan Sopivnyk at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:32What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sopivnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Sopivnyk 1663 vs Ishchuk 1629
Sopivnyk
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sopivnyk 80% vs Ishchuk 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sopivnyk 80% vs Ishchuk 60%
Sopivnyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sopivnyk -1 · Ishchuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sopivnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ishchuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSopivnyk 1.67 / Ishchuk 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Sopivnyk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12428569
Sopivnyk1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 78 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it96% 53 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it84% 66 of 79
Ishchuk2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 29 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back8% 4 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSopivnykIshchukBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 357 vs 167 / 37849.6%44.2%177 / 357 vs 167 / 378Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SopivnykSopivnyk 1.67/Ishchuk 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Sopivnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sopivnyk won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Sopivnyk10
LSep 6 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.803740O. Varlamov1.91111193WSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113LSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631WSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 17:10O. Varlamov2.0081111113R. Sopivnyk1.73119361WSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133WSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113WSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870
V. Ishchuk10
WSep 1 · 16:40A. Kotiash2.1041050V. Ishchuk1.671112113WSep 1 · 15:40V. Ishchuk1.73911119133O. Karpenko2.00119911112LSep 1 · 14:40V. Ishchuk2.2591450R. Sopivnyk1.571116113WSep 1 · 13:10V. Ishchuk2.38111110133M. Tiutiunnyk1.535612111LSep 1 · 11:10V. Ishchuk2.201111101262Y. Holoborodko1.611391210113LAug 14 · 10:35V. Ishchuk1.50461171A. Troyan2.5011118113WAug 14 · 08:35Y. Holoborodko1.57612111172V. Ishchuk2.251110813113WAug 14 · 06:35Y. Kovshun2.104360V. Ishchuk1.671111113WAug 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.53671191V. Ishchuk2.3811117113WAug 1 · 11:05A. Troyan2.50612121192V. Ishchuk1.501114107113
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