TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12342228
Played Aug 1Finished
Andrey Troyan
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
61112141210117911
Vadym Ishchuk
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeVadym Ishchuk to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrey Troyan above · Vadym Ishchuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 103 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Vadym Ishchuk at 62.5%
103 points played in total.
H2H Andrey Troyan 1–0 Vadym Ishchuk Vadym Ishchuk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:07What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Ishchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Troyan 1621 vs Ishchuk 1550
Troyan
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Troyan 80% vs Ishchuk 40%
Troyan
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Troyan 50% vs Ishchuk 70%
Ishchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Troyan +2 · Ishchuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Ishchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ishchuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTroyan 2.50 / Ishchuk 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Ishchuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12342228
Troyan2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 60 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back19% 22 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back9% 7 of 78
Ishchuk1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 14 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it75% 12 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTroyan1wins
AwayIshchuk0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderTroyan leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTroyanIshchukT − IBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match51.047.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTroyanIshchukBasisWin rate · lifetime454 / 966 vs 167 / 39347%42.5%454 / 966 vs 167 / 393Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IshchukTroyan 2.50/Ishchuk 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Ishchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ishchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 23 · 11:30A. Troyan—119811123V. Ishchuk—611119102
A. Troyan10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272LSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113LSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870WSep 4 · 10:00A. Troyan1.806121111113O. Karpenko1.9111146892
V. Ishchuk10
WSep 1 · 16:40A. Kotiash2.1041050V. Ishchuk1.671112113WSep 1 · 15:40V. Ishchuk1.73911119133O. Karpenko2.00119911112LSep 1 · 14:40V. Ishchuk2.2591450R. Sopivnyk1.571116113WSep 1 · 13:10V. Ishchuk2.38111110133M. Tiutiunnyk1.535612111LSep 1 · 11:10V. Ishchuk2.201111101262Y. Holoborodko1.611391210113LAug 14 · 12:05R. Sopivnyk1.6711119113V. Ishchuk2.10671171LAug 14 · 10:35V. Ishchuk1.50461171A. Troyan2.5011118113WAug 14 · 08:35Y. Holoborodko1.57612111172V. Ishchuk2.251110813113WAug 14 · 06:35Y. Kovshun2.104360V. Ishchuk1.671111113WAug 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.53671191V. Ishchuk2.3811117113
Upcoming Matches
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