TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12427775
Played Aug 14Finished
Yaroslav Kovshun
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411311611––––
Vadym Ishchuk
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:47 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeVadym Ishchuk to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Kovshun above · Vadym Ishchuk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 46 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Vadym Ishchuk at 55.8%
46 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Kovshun 1–1 Vadym Ishchuk Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:47What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Ishchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kovshun 1608 vs Ishchuk 1609
Ishchuk
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovshun 40% vs Ishchuk 60%
Ishchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovshun 50% vs Ishchuk 70%
Ishchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovshun +1 · Ishchuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Ishchuk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovshun 2.10 / Ishchuk 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Ishchuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12427775
Kovshun2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 39 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back21% 12 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Ishchuk1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 14 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKovshun1wins
AwayIshchuk1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKovshunIshchukK − IBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match25.031.0−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovshunIshchukBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 667 vs 167 / 37954.4%44.1%363 / 667 vs 167 / 379Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IshchukKovshun 2.10/Ishchuk 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Ishchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ishchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 14 · 06:35Y. Kovshun—4360V. Ishchuk—1111113
WMay 31 · 10:05Y. Kovshun—11411113V. Ishchuk—711831
Y. Kovshun10
LSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272WSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972LSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LSep 4 · 11:00Y. Kovshun1.8051181182O. Karpenko1.91117116113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912WSep 4 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.401111133A. Troyan2.7588110WSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.57118841Y. Kovshun2.2591111113WSep 4 · 05:30Y. Kovshun3.00891111133R. Sopivnyk1.36111188112
V. Ishchuk10
WSep 1 · 16:40A. Kotiash2.1041050V. Ishchuk1.671112113WSep 1 · 15:40V. Ishchuk1.73911119133O. Karpenko2.00119911112LSep 1 · 14:40V. Ishchuk2.2591450R. Sopivnyk1.571116113WSep 1 · 13:10V. Ishchuk2.38111110133M. Tiutiunnyk1.535612111LSep 1 · 11:10V. Ishchuk2.201111101262Y. Holoborodko1.611391210113LAug 14 · 12:05R. Sopivnyk1.6711119113V. Ishchuk2.10671171LAug 14 · 10:35V. Ishchuk1.50461171A. Troyan2.5011118113WAug 14 · 08:35Y. Holoborodko1.57612111172V. Ishchuk2.251110813113WAug 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.53671191V. Ishchuk2.3811117113WAug 1 · 11:05A. Troyan2.50612121192V. Ishchuk1.501114107113
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