TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12427707
Played Aug 14Finished
Andrii Obishchenko
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611711117911––
Vadym Ishchuk
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:48 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeAndrii Obishchenko to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Obishchenko above · Vadym Ishchuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Andrii Obishchenko at 60.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Obishchenko 1–0 Vadym Ishchuk Vadym Ishchuk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:48What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Obishchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Obishchenko 1631 vs Ishchuk 1607
Obishchenko
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Obishchenko 80% vs Ishchuk 60%
Obishchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Obishchenko 70% vs Ishchuk 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Obishchenko +2 · Ishchuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Obishchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ishchuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsObishchenko 1.53 / Ishchuk 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Obishchenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12427707
Obishchenko1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite66% won 27 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Ishchuk2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 29 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back8% 4 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeObishchenko1wins
AwayIshchuk0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderObishchenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricObishchenkoIshchukO − IBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.043.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObishchenkoIshchukBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 131 vs 164 / 37451.9%43.9%68 / 131 vs 164 / 374Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObishchenkoObishchenko 1.53/Ishchuk 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Obishchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ishchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 31 · 08:05A. Obishchenko—126115113V. Ishchuk—101171142
A. Obishchenko10
WAug 20 · 10:30A. Obishchenko1.57127119123A. Lobanov2.251011811102LAug 20 · 09:00A. Obishchenko1.679830A. Kotiash2.101111113LAug 20 · 07:30A. Obishchenko1.208911121A. Troyan4.3311115143WAug 20 · 06:00A. Obishchenko1.91711811113Y. Holoborodko1.8011911772LAug 20 · 04:30A. Obishchenko1.805690Y. Volkov1.911111113WAug 14 · 11:05Y. Kovshun1.73611771A. Obishchenko2.0011711113WAug 14 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.361411113R. Sopivnyk3.0012780WAug 14 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.2011118113A. Troyan4.33591111LAug 14 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.9191111532Y. Holoborodko1.80119911113WJul 18 · 11:05A. Obishchenko1.9112117113A. Kotiash1.801091161
V. Ishchuk10
WSep 1 · 16:40A. Kotiash2.1041050V. Ishchuk1.671112113WSep 1 · 15:40V. Ishchuk1.73911119133O. Karpenko2.00119911112LSep 1 · 14:40V. Ishchuk2.2591450R. Sopivnyk1.571116113WSep 1 · 13:10V. Ishchuk2.38111110133M. Tiutiunnyk1.535612111LSep 1 · 11:10V. Ishchuk2.201111101262Y. Holoborodko1.611391210113LAug 14 · 12:05R. Sopivnyk1.6711119113V. Ishchuk2.10671171LAug 14 · 10:35V. Ishchuk1.50461171A. Troyan2.5011118113WAug 14 · 08:35Y. Holoborodko1.57612111172V. Ishchuk2.251110813113WAug 14 · 06:35Y. Kovshun2.104360V. Ishchuk1.671111113WAug 1 · 11:05A. Troyan2.50612121192V. Ishchuk1.501114107113
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