TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12256084
Played Jul 18Finished
Andrii Obishchenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210119711116––
Andrii Kotiash
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAndrii Obishchenko above · Andrii Kotiash below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 77 set 4, 11-6
77 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Obishchenko 0–1 Andrii Kotiash Andrii Obishchenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kotiash)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotiash form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsObishchenko 1.91 / Kotiash 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kotiash)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12256084
Obishchenko1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kotiash1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 59 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it82% 37 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeObishchenko0wins
AwayKotiash1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKotiash leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricObishchenkoKotiashO − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.048.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObishchenkoKotiashBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 140 vs 218 / 46453.6%47%75 / 140 vs 218 / 464Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotiashObishchenko 1.91/Kotiash 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kotiash · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Obishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 9 · 05:35A. Obishchenko—11591192A. Kotiash—711118113
A. Obishchenko10
WAug 20 · 10:30A. Obishchenko1.57127119123A. Lobanov2.251011811102LAug 20 · 09:00A. Obishchenko1.679830A. Kotiash2.101111113LAug 20 · 07:30A. Obishchenko1.208911121A. Troyan4.3311115143WAug 20 · 06:00A. Obishchenko1.91711811113Y. Holoborodko1.8011911772LAug 20 · 04:30A. Obishchenko1.805690Y. Volkov1.911111113WAug 14 · 11:05Y. Kovshun1.73611771A. Obishchenko2.0011711113WAug 14 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.361411113R. Sopivnyk3.0012780WAug 14 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.2011118113A. Troyan4.33591111LAug 14 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.9191111532Y. Holoborodko1.80119911113LAug 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.53671191V. Ishchuk2.3811117113
A. Kotiash10
LSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123LSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972LSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113WSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:30A. Kotiash2.635141211113R. Sopivnyk1.44111610972LSep 4 · 08:30A. Kotiash2.00101050O. Karpenko1.731212113LSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.57118841Y. Kovshun2.2591111113WSep 4 · 05:00A. Kotiash2.10631211153A. Troyan1.671111107132WAug 20 · 09:00A. Obishchenko1.679830A. Kotiash2.101111113
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