TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12428568
Played Aug 14Finished
Andrii Obishchenko
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412117118––––
Ruslan Sopivnyk
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:32 and never touched — 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timeAndrii Obishchenko to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Obishchenko above · Ruslan Sopivnyk below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 63 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Andrii Obishchenko at 70.9%
63 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Obishchenko 4–0 Ruslan Sopivnyk Ruslan Sopivnyk has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:32What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Obishchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Obishchenko
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Obishchenko 1617 vs Sopivnyk 1679
Sopivnyk
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Obishchenko 60% vs Sopivnyk 80%
Sopivnyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Obishchenko 60% vs Sopivnyk 90%
Sopivnyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Obishchenko +1 · Sopivnyk +4
Sopivnyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Obishchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sopivnyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsObishchenko 1.36 / Sopivnyk 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Obishchenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12428568
Obishchenko1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 27 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Sopivnyk3.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 57 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back18% 17 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeObishchenko4wins
AwaySopivnyk0wins
Obishchenko leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeObishchenko100%4 of 4
AwaySopivnykn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Obishchenko4Sopivnyk0n = 4Obishchenko took 4 of 4
S2Obishchenko4Sopivnyk0n = 4Obishchenko took 4 of 4
S3Obishchenko3Sopivnyk1n = 4Obishchenko took 3 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home375%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricObishchenkoSopivnykO − SBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match36.024.0+12.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObishchenkoSopivnykBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 134 vs 177 / 35651.5%49.7%69 / 134 vs 177 / 356Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObishchenkoObishchenko 1.36/Sopivnyk 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Obishchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Obishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 18 · 09:35A. Obishchenko—1111113R. Sopivnyk—5980
WJul 14 · 07:35A. Obishchenko—1112113R. Sopivnyk—61060
WJan 29 · 10:00A. Obishchenko—1111123R. Sopivnyk—57100
WJan 2 · 10:05A. Obishchenko—11138113R. Sopivnyk—6111121
A. Obishchenko10
WAug 20 · 10:30A. Obishchenko1.57127119123A. Lobanov2.251011811102LAug 20 · 09:00A. Obishchenko1.679830A. Kotiash2.101111113LAug 20 · 07:30A. Obishchenko1.208911121A. Troyan4.3311115143WAug 20 · 06:00A. Obishchenko1.91711811113Y. Holoborodko1.8011911772LAug 20 · 04:30A. Obishchenko1.805690Y. Volkov1.911111113WAug 14 · 11:05Y. Kovshun1.73611771A. Obishchenko2.0011711113WAug 14 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.2011118113A. Troyan4.33591111LAug 14 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.9191111532Y. Holoborodko1.80119911113LAug 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.53671191V. Ishchuk2.3811117113WJul 18 · 11:05A. Obishchenko1.9112117113A. Kotiash1.801091161
R. Sopivnyk10
LSep 6 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.803740O. Varlamov1.91111193WSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113LSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631WSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 17:10O. Varlamov2.0081111113R. Sopivnyk1.73119361WSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133WSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113WSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.