TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12462050
Played Aug 20Finished
Andrii Obishchenko
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8119111151214––
Andrey Troyan
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 87.1% is still 87.1%
Graded at full timeAndrii Obishchenko to win
87.1%
87.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Obishchenko above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 81 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Andrii Obishchenko at 87.1%
81 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Obishchenko 15–1 Andrey Troyan Andrey Troyan has won 1 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:10What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Obishchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-1 in 16
Obishchenko
Wrong
gap of 14 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Obishchenko 1633 vs Troyan 1579
Obishchenko
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Obishchenko 80% vs Troyan 20%
Obishchenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Obishchenko 60% vs Troyan 40%
Obishchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Obishchenko +1 · Troyan -4
Troyan
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Obishchenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsObishchenko 1.20 / Troyan 4.33
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Obishchenko)+8.8pp
Setka Cup · #12462050
Obishchenko1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 30 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it85% 22 of 26
Troyan4.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 56 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeObishchenko9wins
AwayTroyan1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderObishchenko leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeObishchenko100%9 of 9
AwayTroyann = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Obishchenko9Troyan1n = 10Obishchenko took 9 of 10
S2Obishchenko8Troyan2n = 10Obishchenko took 8 of 10
S3Obishchenko8Troyan2n = 10Obishchenko took 8 of 10
S4Obishchenko2Troyan2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricObishchenkoTroyanO − TBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match36.526.3+10.2per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObishchenkoTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 136 vs 459 / 97351.5%47.2%70 / 136 vs 459 / 973Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObishchenkoObishchenko 1.20/Troyan 4.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
87.1%
Obishchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 07:30A. Obishchenko—8911121A. Troyan—11115143
WAug 14 · 09:05A. Obishchenko—11118113A. Troyan—591111
WJul 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko—1111113A. Troyan—6880
WMay 14 · 08:05A. Obishchenko—1111113A. Troyan—6640
WMay 4 · 08:05A. Obishchenko—1111113A. Troyan—7840
WMay 2 · 09:05A. Obishchenko—11411113A. Troyan—9116101
WJan 23 · 07:00A. Obishchenko—1212103A. Troyan—101060
WJan 2 · 09:05A. Obishchenko—1111113A. Troyan—3770
WDec 21 · 07:05A. Obishchenko—1111113A. Troyan—4460
WOct 31 · 07:20A. Obishchenko—111196113A. Troyan—97111182
A. Obishchenko10
WAug 20 · 10:30A. Obishchenko1.57127119123A. Lobanov2.251011811102LAug 20 · 09:00A. Obishchenko1.679830A. Kotiash2.101111113WAug 20 · 06:00A. Obishchenko1.91711811113Y. Holoborodko1.8011911772LAug 20 · 04:30A. Obishchenko1.805690Y. Volkov1.911111113WAug 14 · 11:05Y. Kovshun1.73611771A. Obishchenko2.0011711113WAug 14 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.361411113R. Sopivnyk3.0012780WAug 14 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.2011118113A. Troyan4.33591111LAug 14 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.9191111532Y. Holoborodko1.80119911113LAug 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.53671191V. Ishchuk2.3811117113WJul 18 · 11:05A. Obishchenko1.9112117113A. Kotiash1.801091161
A. Troyan10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272LSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113LSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870LAug 14 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.2011118113A. Troyan4.33591111
Upcoming Matches
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A. Troyan
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