TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12462062
Played Aug 20Finished
Andrii Obishchenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711119811117117
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Obishchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Obishchenko above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 93 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Andrii Obishchenko at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Obishchenko 2–3 Yevhenii Holoborodko Andrii Obishchenko has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:24What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Holoborodko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Obishchenko 1633 vs Holoborodko 1579
Obishchenko
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Obishchenko 60% vs Holoborodko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Obishchenko 60% vs Holoborodko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Obishchenko -1 · Holoborodko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holoborodko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsObishchenko 1.91 / Holoborodko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Holoborodko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12462062
Obishchenko1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 5 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back50% 3 of 6
Holoborodko1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 129 of 229
Up 2–0, closes it91% 53 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it71% 79 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeObishchenko2wins
AwayHoloborodko3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderHoloborodko leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeObishchenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHoloborodko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Obishchenko2Holoborodko3n = 5Holoborodko took 3 of 5
S2Obishchenko3Holoborodko2n = 5Obishchenko took 3 of 5
S3Obishchenko2Holoborodko3n = 5Holoborodko took 3 of 5
S4Obishchenko2Holoborodko3n = 5Holoborodko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricObishchenkoHoloborodkoO − HBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match38.639.8−1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObishchenkoHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 136 vs 288 / 55151.5%52.3%70 / 136 vs 288 / 551Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoloborodkoObishchenko 1.91/Holoborodko 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Holoborodko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Obishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 20 · 06:00A. Obishchenko—711811113Y. Holoborodko—11911772
LAug 14 · 07:35A. Obishchenko—91111532Y. Holoborodko—119911113
LJul 12 · 04:30A. Obishchenko—117691Y. Holoborodko—41111113
LJan 2 · 06:35A. Obishchenko—116961Y. Holoborodko—81111113
WDec 21 · 12:35A. Obishchenko—81111113Y. Holoborodko—116261
A. Obishchenko10
WAug 20 · 10:30A. Obishchenko1.57127119123A. Lobanov2.251011811102LAug 20 · 09:00A. Obishchenko1.679830A. Kotiash2.101111113LAug 20 · 07:30A. Obishchenko1.208911121A. Troyan4.3311115143LAug 20 · 04:30A. Obishchenko1.805690Y. Volkov1.911111113WAug 14 · 11:05Y. Kovshun1.73611771A. Obishchenko2.0011711113WAug 14 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.361411113R. Sopivnyk3.0012780WAug 14 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.2011118113A. Troyan4.33591111LAug 14 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.9191111532Y. Holoborodko1.80119911113LAug 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.53671191V. Ishchuk2.3811117113WJul 18 · 11:05A. Obishchenko1.9112117113A. Kotiash1.801091161
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113WSep 6 · 10:00O. Varlamov1.73111112822Y. Holoborodko2.00841411113LSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960LSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133LSep 5 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.80111142Y. Holoborodko1.919851WSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113WAug 14 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.9191111532Y. Holoborodko1.80119911113
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