TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055182
Played Sep 1Finished
Vadym Ishchuk
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111416511––––
Ruslan Sopivnyk
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeRuslan Sopivnyk to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVadym Ishchuk above · Ruslan Sopivnyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 66 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Ruslan Sopivnyk at 58.9%
66 points played in total.
H2H Vadym Ishchuk 0–1 Ruslan Sopivnyk Vadym Ishchuk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:16What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sopivnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ishchuk 1608 vs Sopivnyk 1625
Sopivnyk
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ishchuk 40% vs Sopivnyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ishchuk 60% vs Sopivnyk 40%
Ishchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ishchuk +1 · Sopivnyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sopivnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sopivnyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIshchuk 2.25 / Sopivnyk 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Sopivnyk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055182
Ishchuk2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 20 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 24
Sopivnyk1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 73 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it96% 53 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it89% 62 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeIshchuk0wins
AwaySopivnyk1wins
Sopivnyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricIshchukSopivnykI − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match31.042.0−11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIshchukSopivnykBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 361 vs 186 / 37542.9%49.6%155 / 361 vs 186 / 375Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SopivnykIshchuk 2.25/Sopivnyk 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Sopivnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sopivnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 14 · 12:05V. Ishchuk—671171R. Sopivnyk—11119113
V. Ishchuk10
WSep 1 · 16:40A. Kotiash2.1041050V. Ishchuk1.671112113WSep 1 · 15:40V. Ishchuk1.73911119133O. Karpenko2.00119911112WSep 1 · 13:10V. Ishchuk2.38111110133M. Tiutiunnyk1.535612111LSep 1 · 11:10V. Ishchuk2.201111101262Y. Holoborodko1.611391210113LAug 14 · 12:05R. Sopivnyk1.6711119113V. Ishchuk2.10671171LAug 14 · 10:35V. Ishchuk1.50461171A. Troyan2.5011118113WAug 14 · 08:35Y. Holoborodko1.57612111172V. Ishchuk2.251110813113WAug 14 · 06:35Y. Kovshun2.104360V. Ishchuk1.671111113WAug 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.53671191V. Ishchuk2.3811117113WAug 1 · 11:05A. Troyan2.50612121192V. Ishchuk1.501114107113
R. Sopivnyk10
LSep 6 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.803740O. Varlamov1.91111193WSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113LSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631WSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 17:10O. Varlamov2.0081111113R. Sopivnyk1.73119361WSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133WSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113WAug 14 · 12:05R. Sopivnyk1.6711119113V. Ishchuk2.10671171
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