TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12428124
Played Aug 14Finished
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
61112101181113711
Vadym Ishchuk
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:25 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Holoborodko to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYevhenii Holoborodko above · Vadym Ishchuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 100 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Yevhenii Holoborodko at 62.9%
100 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Holoborodko 5–2 Vadym Ishchuk Vadym Ishchuk has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:25What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Holoborodko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Holoborodko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holoborodko 1553 vs Ishchuk 1634
Ishchuk
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holoborodko 20% vs Ishchuk 80%
Ishchuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holoborodko 40% vs Ishchuk 70%
Ishchuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holoborodko +1 · Ishchuk +3
Ishchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Holoborodko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ishchuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoloborodko 1.57 / Ishchuk 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Holoborodko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12428124
Holoborodko1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 131 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it92% 54 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it71% 80 of 112
Ishchuk2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 29 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back8% 4 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeHoloborodko5wins
AwayIshchuk2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderHoloborodko leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoloborodko66.7%2 of 3
AwayIshchuk25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holoborodko3Ishchuk4n = 7Ishchuk took 4 of 7
S2Holoborodko3Ishchuk4n = 7Ishchuk took 4 of 7
S3Holoborodko5Ishchuk2n = 7Holoborodko took 5 of 7
S4Holoborodko5Ishchuk2n = 7Holoborodko took 5 of 7
S5Holoborodko2Ishchuk1n = 3Holoborodko took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricHoloborodkoIshchukH − IBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match41.140.1+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoloborodkoIshchukBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 529 vs 166 / 37652.4%44.2%277 / 529 vs 166 / 376Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoloborodkoHoloborodko 1.57/Ishchuk 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Holoborodko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ishchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WMay 10 · 10:00Y. Holoborodko—11711113V. Ishchuk—511771
LMay 9 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko—11881172V. Ishchuk—711119113
WApr 26 · 04:30Y. Holoborodko—101111113V. Ishchuk—127961
LApr 25 · 17:10Y. Holoborodko—881131V. Ishchuk—11118113
WApr 14 · 06:20Y. Holoborodko—11611113V. Ishchuk—911691
WApr 10 · 20:20Y. Holoborodko—2111110113V. Ishchuk—11991292
WMar 10 · 13:20Y. Holoborodko—914111113V. Ishchuk—111211172
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113WSep 6 · 10:00O. Varlamov1.73111112822Y. Holoborodko2.00841411113LSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960LSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133LSep 5 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.80111142Y. Holoborodko1.919851WSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 5 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.509760
V. Ishchuk10
WSep 1 · 16:40A. Kotiash2.1041050V. Ishchuk1.671112113WSep 1 · 15:40V. Ishchuk1.73911119133O. Karpenko2.00119911112LSep 1 · 14:40V. Ishchuk2.2591450R. Sopivnyk1.571116113WSep 1 · 13:10V. Ishchuk2.38111110133M. Tiutiunnyk1.535612111LSep 1 · 11:10V. Ishchuk2.201111101262Y. Holoborodko1.611391210113LAug 14 · 12:05R. Sopivnyk1.6711119113V. Ishchuk2.10671171LAug 14 · 10:35V. Ishchuk1.50461171A. Troyan2.5011118113WAug 14 · 06:35Y. Kovshun2.104360V. Ishchuk1.671111113WAug 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.53671191V. Ishchuk2.3811117113WAug 1 · 11:05A. Troyan2.50612121192V. Ishchuk1.501114107113
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