TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055200
Played Sep 1Finished
Andrii Kotiash
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4111012511––––
Vadym Ishchuk
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVadym Ishchuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Kotiash above · Vadym Ishchuk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Vadym Ishchuk at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:16What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Ishchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kotiash 1525 vs Ishchuk 1595
Ishchuk
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotiash 20% vs Ishchuk 40%
Ishchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotiash 40% vs Ishchuk 60%
Ishchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotiash -3 · Ishchuk +1
Kotiash
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Ishchuk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ishchuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotiash 2.10 / Ishchuk 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Ishchuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055200
Kotiash2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 64 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back25% 22 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54
Ishchuk1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 13 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it67% 10 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotiashIshchukBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 449 vs 154 / 36147.7%42.7%214 / 449 vs 154 / 361Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IshchukKotiash 2.10/Ishchuk 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Ishchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ishchuk won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Kotiash10
LSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123LSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972LSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113WSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:30A. Kotiash2.635141211113R. Sopivnyk1.44111610972LSep 4 · 08:30A. Kotiash2.00101050O. Karpenko1.731212113LSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.57118841Y. Kovshun2.2591111113WSep 4 · 05:00A. Kotiash2.10631211153A. Troyan1.671111107132WSep 2 · 10:30A. Kotiash1.831111711113I. Emets1.8381311572
V. Ishchuk10
WSep 1 · 15:40V. Ishchuk1.73911119133O. Karpenko2.00119911112LSep 1 · 14:40V. Ishchuk2.2591450R. Sopivnyk1.571116113WSep 1 · 13:10V. Ishchuk2.38111110133M. Tiutiunnyk1.535612111LSep 1 · 11:10V. Ishchuk2.201111101262Y. Holoborodko1.611391210113LAug 14 · 12:05R. Sopivnyk1.6711119113V. Ishchuk2.10671171LAug 14 · 10:35V. Ishchuk1.50461171A. Troyan2.5011118113WAug 14 · 08:35Y. Holoborodko1.57612111172V. Ishchuk2.251110813113WAug 14 · 06:35Y. Kovshun2.104360V. Ishchuk1.671111113WAug 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.53671191V. Ishchuk2.3811117113WAug 1 · 11:05A. Troyan2.50612121192V. Ishchuk1.501114107113
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