TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055112
Played Sep 1Finished
Vadym Ishchuk
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
111311910121210611
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:08 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Holoborodko to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVadym Ishchuk above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 105 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Yevhenii Holoborodko at 59.3%
105 points played in total.
H2H Vadym Ishchuk 2–5 Yevhenii Holoborodko Vadym Ishchuk has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:08What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Holoborodko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Holoborodko
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ishchuk 1609 vs Holoborodko 1623
Holoborodko
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ishchuk 60% vs Holoborodko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ishchuk 60% vs Holoborodko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ishchuk -2 · Holoborodko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Holoborodko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ishchuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIshchuk 2.20 / Holoborodko 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Holoborodko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13055112
Ishchuk2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 20 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 24
Holoborodko1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 125 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it91% 52 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it69% 77 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeIshchuk2wins
AwayHoloborodko5wins
3 of 7 to a deciderHoloborodko leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIshchuk25%1 of 4
AwayHoloborodko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ishchuk4Holoborodko3n = 7Ishchuk took 4 of 7
S2Ishchuk4Holoborodko3n = 7Ishchuk took 4 of 7
S3Ishchuk2Holoborodko5n = 7Holoborodko took 5 of 7
S4Ishchuk2Holoborodko5n = 7Holoborodko took 5 of 7
S5Ishchuk1Holoborodko2n = 3Holoborodko took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricIshchukHoloborodkoI − HBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match40.141.1−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIshchukHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 359 vs 307 / 58142.9%52.8%154 / 359 vs 307 / 581Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoloborodkoIshchuk 2.20/Holoborodko 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Holoborodko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Holoborodko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LMay 10 · 10:00V. Ishchuk—511771Y. Holoborodko—11711113
WMay 9 · 12:40V. Ishchuk—711119113Y. Holoborodko—11881172
LApr 26 · 04:30V. Ishchuk—127961Y. Holoborodko—101111113
WApr 25 · 17:10V. Ishchuk—11118113Y. Holoborodko—881131
LApr 14 · 06:20V. Ishchuk—911691Y. Holoborodko—11611113
LApr 10 · 20:20V. Ishchuk—11991292Y. Holoborodko—2111110113
LMar 10 · 13:20V. Ishchuk—111211172Y. Holoborodko—914111113
V. Ishchuk10
WSep 1 · 16:40A. Kotiash2.1041050V. Ishchuk1.671112113WSep 1 · 15:40V. Ishchuk1.73911119133O. Karpenko2.00119911112LSep 1 · 14:40V. Ishchuk2.2591450R. Sopivnyk1.571116113WSep 1 · 13:10V. Ishchuk2.38111110133M. Tiutiunnyk1.535612111LAug 14 · 12:05R. Sopivnyk1.6711119113V. Ishchuk2.10671171LAug 14 · 10:35V. Ishchuk1.50461171A. Troyan2.5011118113WAug 14 · 08:35Y. Holoborodko1.57612111172V. Ishchuk2.251110813113WAug 14 · 06:35Y. Kovshun2.104360V. Ishchuk1.671111113WAug 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.53671191V. Ishchuk2.3811117113WAug 1 · 11:05A. Troyan2.50612121192V. Ishchuk1.501114107113
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113WSep 6 · 10:00O. Varlamov1.73111112822Y. Holoborodko2.00841411113LSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960LSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133LSep 5 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.80111142Y. Holoborodko1.919851WSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LAug 14 · 08:35Y. Holoborodko1.57612111172V. Ishchuk2.251110813113
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