TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067273
Played Sep 3Finished
Maksym Tiutiunnyk
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611711116115116
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Holoborodko to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMaksym Tiutiunnyk above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 85 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Yevhenii Holoborodko at 57.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Tiutiunnyk 11–20 Yevhenii Holoborodko Maksym Tiutiunnyk has won 11 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:07What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Holoborodko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-20 in 31
Holoborodko
Wrong
gap of 9 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tiutiunnyk 1561 vs Holoborodko 1590
Holoborodko
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tiutiunnyk 40% vs Holoborodko 20%
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tiutiunnyk 60% vs Holoborodko 30%
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tiutiunnyk +1 · Holoborodko -4
Holoborodko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Holoborodko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTiutiunnyk 2.10 / Holoborodko 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Holoborodko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13067273
Tiutiunnyk2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 32 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back20% 10 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 35
Holoborodko1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite55% won 130 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it92% 54 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it69% 80 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTiutiunnyk6wins
AwayHoloborodko4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTiutiunnyk leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTiutiunnyk55.6%5 of 9
AwayHoloborodkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tiutiunnyk9Holoborodko1n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 9 of 10
S2Tiutiunnyk4Holoborodko6n = 10Holoborodko took 6 of 10
S3Tiutiunnyk6Holoborodko4n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 6 of 10
S4Tiutiunnyk4Holoborodko4n = 8split evenly
S5Tiutiunnyk2Holoborodko3n = 5Holoborodko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTiutiunnykHoloborodkoT − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match44.638.0+6.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTiutiunnykHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 371 vs 312 / 59347.2%52.6%175 / 371 vs 312 / 593Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoloborodkoTiutiunnyk 2.10/Holoborodko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Holoborodko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tiutiunnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk—91111123Y. Holoborodko—1169101
LSep 1 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk—1311111092Y. Holoborodko—1113712113
WAug 6 · 15:40M. Tiutiunnyk—1111511113Y. Holoborodko—61311662
LAug 2 · 10:35M. Tiutiunnyk—11891652Y. Holoborodko—8111114113
LAug 1 · 11:10M. Tiutiunnyk—1111129102Y. Holoborodko—441411123
WJul 16 · 16:10M. Tiutiunnyk—11711113Y. Holoborodko—711861
WJul 2 · 14:40M. Tiutiunnyk—119137113Y. Holoborodko—311111182
LJun 25 · 15:40M. Tiutiunnyk—11101191Y. Holoborodko—51213113
WJun 20 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk—1111113Y. Holoborodko—3270
WJun 18 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk—1111113Y. Holoborodko—9910
M. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 3 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.571011115113D. Habrelyan2.2512781162LSep 3 · 15:10O. Zhyrnov1.53111110113M. Tiutiunnyk2.38751261WSep 3 · 13:10O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114372M. Tiutiunnyk2.20471111113LSep 3 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.001211910102O. Nadporozhskyi1.731091112123WSep 2 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko1.731169101M. Tiutiunnyk2.0091111123LSep 2 · 16:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.61111061182D. Habrelyan2.20812115113LSep 2 · 14:10O. Zhyrnov1.611111113M. Tiutiunnyk2.203870WSep 2 · 12:10O. Karpenko2.63111611692M. Tiutiunnyk1.445141311113WSep 2 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko1.73111071162M. Tiutiunnyk2.00412118113WSep 1 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.731511711133R. Sopivnyk2.00176116112
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113WSep 6 · 10:00O. Varlamov1.73111112822Y. Holoborodko2.00841411113LSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960LSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133LSep 5 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.80111142Y. Holoborodko1.919851WSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 2 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko1.731169101M. Tiutiunnyk2.0091111123
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