TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060779
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113118117––––
Maksym Tiutiunnyk
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhyrnov to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Zhyrnov above · Maksym Tiutiunnyk below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 51 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Zhyrnov at 58.1%
51 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Zhyrnov 22–25 Maksym Tiutiunnyk Oleksandr Zhyrnov has won 22 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:42What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zhyrnov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-25 in 47
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zhyrnov 1699 vs Tiutiunnyk 1568
Zhyrnov
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zhyrnov 100% vs Tiutiunnyk 80%
Zhyrnov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhyrnov 90% vs Tiutiunnyk 60%
Zhyrnov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhyrnov +5 · Tiutiunnyk +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Zhyrnov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tiutiunnyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhyrnov 1.61 / Tiutiunnyk 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Zhyrnov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13060779
Zhyrnov1.61
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 110 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it93% 54 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it84% 81 of 96
Tiutiunnyk2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 30 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back17% 8 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZhyrnov6wins
AwayTiutiunnyk4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZhyrnov leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZhyrnov85.7%6 of 7
AwayTiutiunnyk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zhyrnov7Tiutiunnyk3n = 10Zhyrnov took 7 of 10
S2Zhyrnov5Tiutiunnyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Zhyrnov5Tiutiunnyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Zhyrnov3Tiutiunnyk2n = 5Zhyrnov took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZhyrnovTiutiunnykZ − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.233.5+2.7per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhyrnovTiutiunnykBasisWin rate · lifetime372 / 753 vs 173 / 36649.4%47.3%372 / 753 vs 173 / 366Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhyrnovZhyrnov 1.61/Tiutiunnyk 2.20
Hit
What we said
58.1%
Zhyrnov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zhyrnov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 1 · 14:40O. Zhyrnov—1111113M. Tiutiunnyk—7580
WJul 22 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov—1211113M. Tiutiunnyk—10560
WJul 19 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov—11911113M. Tiutiunnyk—911871
WJul 16 · 14:40O. Zhyrnov—119115113M. Tiutiunnyk—61181192
WJul 2 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov—1911113M. Tiutiunnyk—17390
LJun 25 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov—9790M. Tiutiunnyk—1111113
LJun 20 · 15:10O. Zhyrnov—10550M. Tiutiunnyk—1211113
WJun 13 · 12:10O. Zhyrnov—11119113M. Tiutiunnyk—751161
LJun 7 · 08:00O. Zhyrnov—114811102M. Tiutiunnyk—811116123
LMay 27 · 14:40O. Zhyrnov—811961M. Tiutiunnyk—11811113
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101WSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631LSep 6 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov1.8079120O. Varlamov1.911111143WSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960WSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 11:40O. Varlamov1.8351090O. Zhyrnov1.83111292
M. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 3 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.571011115113D. Habrelyan2.2512781162LSep 3 · 15:10O. Zhyrnov1.53111110113M. Tiutiunnyk2.38751261WSep 3 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk2.10671111113Y. Holoborodko1.6711116562WSep 3 · 13:10O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114372M. Tiutiunnyk2.20471111113LSep 3 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.001211910102O. Nadporozhskyi1.731091112123WSep 2 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko1.731169101M. Tiutiunnyk2.0091111123LSep 2 · 16:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.61111061182D. Habrelyan2.20812115113WSep 2 · 12:10O. Karpenko2.63111611692M. Tiutiunnyk1.445141311113WSep 2 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko1.73111071162M. Tiutiunnyk2.00412118113WSep 1 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.731511711133R. Sopivnyk2.00176116112
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