TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067207
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleh Kuzyshyn
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114117411311711
Maksym Tiutiunnyk
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeOleh Kuzyshyn to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Kuzyshyn above · Maksym Tiutiunnyk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 80 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Oleh Kuzyshyn at 57.3%
80 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kuzyshyn 14–11 Maksym Tiutiunnyk Maksym Tiutiunnyk has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-11 in 25
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzyshyn 1693 vs Tiutiunnyk 1546
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzyshyn 100% vs Tiutiunnyk 40%
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzyshyn 70% vs Tiutiunnyk 50%
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzyshyn +5 · Tiutiunnyk -1
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kuzyshyn) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzyshyn form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzyshyn 1.61 / Tiutiunnyk 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kuzyshyn)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13067207
Kuzyshyn1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 63 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it83% 47 of 57
Tiutiunnyk2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 32 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back20% 10 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzyshyn7wins
AwayTiutiunnyk3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKuzyshyn leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzyshyn100%5 of 5
AwayTiutiunnyk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzyshyn5Tiutiunnyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Kuzyshyn6Tiutiunnyk4n = 10Kuzyshyn took 6 of 10
S3Kuzyshyn4Tiutiunnyk6n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 6 of 10
S4Kuzyshyn5Tiutiunnyk2n = 7Kuzyshyn took 5 of 7
S5Kuzyshyn3Tiutiunnyk1n = 4Kuzyshyn took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzyshynTiutiunnykK − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.135.8+3.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzyshynTiutiunnykBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 430 vs 174 / 37052.6%47%226 / 430 vs 174 / 370Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzyshynKuzyshyn 1.61/Tiutiunnyk 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.3%
Kuzyshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tiutiunnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 19 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn—611111192M. Tiutiunnyk—115139113
WMay 14 · 15:20O. Kuzyshyn—119119113M. Tiutiunnyk—71151152
LMay 3 · 10:30O. Kuzyshyn—9820M. Tiutiunnyk—1111113
WMar 29 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn—11143113M. Tiutiunnyk—9121141
WMar 28 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn—911611113M. Tiutiunnyk—11711882
LFeb 21 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn—86120M. Tiutiunnyk—1111143
WFeb 15 · 05:30O. Kuzyshyn—117115123M. Tiutiunnyk—811911102
WFeb 14 · 12:40O. Kuzyshyn—111111113M. Tiutiunnyk—134681
WFeb 8 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn—1111113M. Tiutiunnyk—3830
WFeb 7 · 14:10O. Kuzyshyn—1111873M. Tiutiunnyk—181161
O. Kuzyshyn10
LSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101LSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113WSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.501111113O. Varlamov2.506750WSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121WSep 5 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.571111113O. Varlamov2.259560LSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113
M. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 3 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.571011115113D. Habrelyan2.2512781162LSep 3 · 15:10O. Zhyrnov1.53111110113M. Tiutiunnyk2.38751261WSep 3 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk2.10671111113Y. Holoborodko1.6711116562LSep 3 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.001211910102O. Nadporozhskyi1.731091112123WSep 2 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko1.731169101M. Tiutiunnyk2.0091111123LSep 2 · 16:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.61111061182D. Habrelyan2.20812115113LSep 2 · 14:10O. Zhyrnov1.611111113M. Tiutiunnyk2.203870WSep 2 · 12:10O. Karpenko2.63111611692M. Tiutiunnyk1.445141311113WSep 2 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko1.73111071162M. Tiutiunnyk2.00412118113WSep 1 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.731511711133R. Sopivnyk2.00176116112
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