TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055478
Played Sep 1Finished
Maksym Tiutiunnyk
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
15171167111161311
Ruslan Sopivnyk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Tiutiunnyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Tiutiunnyk above · Ruslan Sopivnyk below
Set 1 · 15-17
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 108 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Maksym Tiutiunnyk at 54.0%
108 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Tiutiunnyk 10–4 Ruslan Sopivnyk Ruslan Sopivnyk has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:06What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-4 in 14
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tiutiunnyk 1526 vs Sopivnyk 1651
Sopivnyk
Wrong
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tiutiunnyk 20% vs Sopivnyk 60%
Sopivnyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tiutiunnyk 40% vs Sopivnyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tiutiunnyk +1 · Sopivnyk +3
Sopivnyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Tiutiunnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tiutiunnyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTiutiunnyk 1.73 / Sopivnyk 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Tiutiunnyk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13055478
Tiutiunnyk1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 56 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Sopivnyk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 59 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTiutiunnyk7wins
AwaySopivnyk3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTiutiunnyk leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTiutiunnyk83.3%5 of 6
AwaySopivnyk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tiutiunnyk6Sopivnyk4n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 6 of 10
S2Tiutiunnyk3Sopivnyk7n = 10Sopivnyk took 7 of 10
S3Tiutiunnyk4Sopivnyk6n = 10Sopivnyk took 6 of 10
S4Tiutiunnyk6Sopivnyk1n = 7Tiutiunnyk took 6 of 7
S5Tiutiunnyk4Sopivnyk1n = 5Tiutiunnyk took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTiutiunnykSopivnykT − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.039.1+0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTiutiunnykSopivnykBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 363 vs 188 / 37746.8%49.9%170 / 363 vs 188 / 377Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TiutiunnykTiutiunnyk 1.73/Sopivnyk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Tiutiunnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tiutiunnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 6 · 14:40M. Tiutiunnyk—1011511123R. Sopivnyk—128117102
LAug 5 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk—5750R. Sopivnyk—1111113
LAug 2 · 08:35M. Tiutiunnyk—9790R. Sopivnyk—1111113
WAug 1 · 16:40M. Tiutiunnyk—137911113R. Sopivnyk—111111972
LJul 24 · 17:31M. Tiutiunnyk—11191162R. Sopivnyk—811118113
WJul 24 · 14:30M. Tiutiunnyk—1051111113R. Sopivnyk—12115452
WJul 1 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk—11117113R. Sopivnyk—991171
WJun 6 · 10:40M. Tiutiunnyk—11101212123R. Sopivnyk—9121014102
WMay 1 · 14:40M. Tiutiunnyk—1111113R. Sopivnyk—8560
WApr 19 · 11:30M. Tiutiunnyk—11911113R. Sopivnyk—811851
M. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 3 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.571011115113D. Habrelyan2.2512781162LSep 3 · 15:10O. Zhyrnov1.53111110113M. Tiutiunnyk2.38751261WSep 3 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk2.10671111113Y. Holoborodko1.6711116562WSep 3 · 13:10O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114372M. Tiutiunnyk2.20471111113LSep 3 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.001211910102O. Nadporozhskyi1.731091112123WSep 2 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko1.731169101M. Tiutiunnyk2.0091111123LSep 2 · 16:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.61111061182D. Habrelyan2.20812115113LSep 2 · 14:10O. Zhyrnov1.611111113M. Tiutiunnyk2.203870WSep 2 · 12:10O. Karpenko2.63111611692M. Tiutiunnyk1.445141311113WSep 2 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko1.73111071162M. Tiutiunnyk2.00412118113
R. Sopivnyk10
LSep 6 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.803740O. Varlamov1.91111193WSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113LSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631WSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 17:10O. Varlamov2.0081111113R. Sopivnyk1.73119361WSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133WSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113WSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870
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