TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13029468
Played Aug 27Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1961
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11814121210––––
Andrii Tkachenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1961 above · Andrii Tkachenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 67 set 3, 12-10
67 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1961 2–1 Andrii Tkachenko Andrii Tkachenko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strnad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkachenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.83 / Tkachenko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Strnad)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13029468
Strnad1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
Tkachenko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStrnad2wins
AwayTkachenko1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderStrnad leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad1Tkachenko2n = 3Tkachenko took 2 of 3
S2Strnad1Tkachenko2n = 3Tkachenko took 2 of 3
S3Strnad2Tkachenko1n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3
S4Strnad2Tkachenko1n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricStrnadTkachenkoS − TBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match36.741.0−4.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadTkachenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 372 vs 16 / 3541.7%45.7%155 / 372 vs 16 / 35Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.535.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.83/Tkachenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 27 · 06:00J. Strnad—881231A. Tkachenko—111110113
WAug 21 · 09:28J. Strnad—11114113A. Tkachenko—781161
WAug 21 · 06:00J. Strnad—341113113A. Tkachenko—111181172
J. Strnad10
LSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113LSep 4 · 01:00J. Strnad1.8339130M. Vaclavik1.831111153LSep 4 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.331211113J. Strnad3.2510830LSep 3 · 22:30J. Grohsgott1.201111113J. Strnad4.334460WSep 3 · 08:58M. Smesny1.30116771J. Strnad3.4081111113LSep 3 · 08:30J. Strnad3.2552100M. Smesny1.331111123LSep 3 · 07:00J. Strnad2.75481161M. Vrabec1.4011116113LSep 3 · 06:00L. Novotny1.5711117113J. Strnad2.25541151LSep 1 · 09:03J. Cernik1.5381111113J. Strnad2.38113891LSep 1 · 08:00J. Cernik1.441111113J. Strnad2.638380
A. Tkachenko10
LAug 28 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.54511631L. Novotny2.1811911113WAug 28 · 08:00A. Tkachenko3.40101212113J. Cernik1.3012101091WAug 28 · 07:30L. Novotny1.911110891A. Tkachenko1.8081211113WAug 28 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.001111123V. Kubat1.7397100WAug 27 · 08:00A. Tkachenko2.501111113L. Novotny1.506650LAug 27 · 07:30V. Kubat1.831111113A. Tkachenko1.839780WAug 27 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.10111110113J. Strnad1.67881231WAug 22 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.6011118113P. Potmesil2.20461151WAug 22 · 08:00A. Tkachenko1.531110129113P. Serak2.38712101172WAug 22 · 07:30J. Koch1.44581191A. Tkachenko2.6311119113
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