TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13020130
Played Aug 27Finished
Vladimir Kubat
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117118––––
Andrii Tkachenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:18 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeAndrii Tkachenko to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVladimir Kubat above · Andrii Tkachenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 57 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Andrii Tkachenko at 60.8%
57 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Kubat 1–1 Andrii Tkachenko Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Tkachenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kubat 999 vs Tkachenko 1165
Tkachenko
Wrong
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kubat 20% vs Tkachenko 100%
Tkachenko
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubat 30% vs Tkachenko 50%
Tkachenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubat -1 · Tkachenko +5
Tkachenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tkachenko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkachenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubat 1.83 / Tkachenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Tkachenko)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13020130
Kubat1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Tkachenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKubat1wins
AwayTkachenko1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKubatTkachenkoK − TBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match29.529.0+0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubatTkachenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 314 vs 19 / 4040.5%47.5%127 / 314 vs 19 / 40Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.535.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkachenkoKubat 1.83/Tkachenko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Tkachenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kubat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 28 · 06:00V. Kubat—97100A. Tkachenko—1111123
WAug 27 · 07:30V. Kubat—1111113A. Tkachenko—9780
V. Kubat10
LAug 28 · 08:59J. Cernik1.611311113V. Kubat2.2011940LAug 28 · 08:30V. Kubat3.256690L. Novotny1.331111113LAug 28 · 07:00V. Kubat2.388560J. Cernik1.531111113LAug 28 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.001111123V. Kubat1.7397100LAug 27 · 09:08V. Kubat2.7510750L. Novotny1.401211113LAug 27 · 08:30J. Strnad1.80611911113V. Kubat1.9111811292LAug 27 · 06:30L. Novotny1.4411113113V. Kubat2.63471151WAug 24 · 12:58C. Havrda1.44681171V. Kubat2.6311115113LAug 24 · 12:30V. Kubat2.636870M. Smesny1.441111113LAug 24 · 11:00V. Kubat2.6358100C. Havrda1.441111123
A. Tkachenko10
LAug 28 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.54511631L. Novotny2.1811911113WAug 28 · 08:00A. Tkachenko3.40101212113J. Cernik1.3012101091WAug 28 · 07:30L. Novotny1.911110891A. Tkachenko1.8081211113WAug 28 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.001111123V. Kubat1.7397100LAug 27 · 09:28J. Strnad1.831114123A. Tkachenko1.83812100WAug 27 · 08:00A. Tkachenko2.501111113L. Novotny1.506650WAug 27 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.10111110113J. Strnad1.67881231WAug 22 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.6011118113P. Potmesil2.20461151WAug 22 · 08:00A. Tkachenko1.531110129113P. Serak2.38712101172WAug 22 · 07:30J. Koch1.44581191A. Tkachenko2.6311119113
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