TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13002548
Played Aug 24Finished
Cesta Havrda
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611811115711––
Vladimir Kubat
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingCesta Havrda above · Vladimir Kubat below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 70 set 4, 7-11
70 points played in total.
H2H Cesta Havrda 32–16 Vladimir Kubat Vladimir Kubat has won 16 of their 48 meetings.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Havrda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubat form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHavrda 1.44 / Kubat 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Havrda)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13002548
Havrda1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 25 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Kubat2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 22 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHavrda9wins
AwayKubat1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHavrda leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHavrda100%5 of 5
AwayKubat20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Havrda5Kubat5n = 10split evenly
S2Havrda7Kubat3n = 10Havrda took 7 of 10
S3Havrda9Kubat1n = 10Havrda took 9 of 10
S4Havrda3Kubat4n = 7Kubat took 4 of 7
S5Havrda4Kubat0n = 4Havrda took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHavrdaKubatH − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.033.7+7.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHavrdaKubatBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 255 vs 126 / 30942.8%40.8%109 / 255 vs 126 / 309Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HavrdaHavrda 1.44/Kubat 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.5%
Havrda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kubat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 11:00C. Havrda—1111123V. Kubat—58100
WAug 12 · 08:00C. Havrda—114117113V. Kubat—61121182
WJul 21 · 08:00C. Havrda—1111113V. Kubat—7870
WApr 20 · 12:30C. Havrda—711911113V. Kubat—11711592
WApr 2 · 08:58C. Havrda—1112113V. Kubat—41040
WApr 2 · 08:30C. Havrda—101111113V. Kubat—124671
WMar 31 · 12:58C. Havrda—9111110113V. Kubat—11991252
LMar 31 · 12:30C. Havrda—771181V. Kubat—11118113
WMar 30 · 10:30C. Havrda—71111113V. Kubat—112991
WMar 24 · 12:30C. Havrda—1110115113V. Kubat—71271192
C. Havrda10
LSep 1 · 12:59C. Havrda3.759780A. Hejduk1.251111113LSep 1 · 12:00C. Havrda2.509540J. Cernik1.501111113WSep 1 · 11:30A. Hejduk1.2071111772C. Havrda4.33116411113LSep 1 · 10:00C. Havrda2.209111081Z. Kasinski1.6111712113WAug 25 · 13:30M. Smesny2.00115612102C. Havrda1.739111110123WAug 25 · 12:00L. Novotny1.507470C. Havrda2.501111113WAug 25 · 11:00J. Strnad2.50912121442C. Havrda1.5011101016113LAug 25 · 10:30C. Havrda1.801091111112M. Smesny1.91121195133LAug 24 · 12:00J. Strnad2.6331111113C. Havrda1.44118591WAug 24 · 11:00V. Kubat2.6358100C. Havrda1.441111123
V. Kubat10
LAug 28 · 08:59J. Cernik1.611311113V. Kubat2.2011940LAug 28 · 08:30V. Kubat3.256690L. Novotny1.331111113LAug 28 · 07:00V. Kubat2.388560J. Cernik1.531111113LAug 28 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.001111123V. Kubat1.7397100LAug 27 · 09:08V. Kubat2.7510750L. Novotny1.401211113LAug 27 · 08:30J. Strnad1.80611911113V. Kubat1.9111811292WAug 27 · 07:30V. Kubat1.831111113A. Tkachenko1.839780LAug 27 · 06:30L. Novotny1.4411113113V. Kubat2.63471151LAug 24 · 12:30V. Kubat2.636870M. Smesny1.441111113LAug 24 · 11:00V. Kubat2.6358100C. Havrda1.441111123
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