TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13053068
Played Sep 1Finished
Alexander Hejduk
Home
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711116114711711
Cesta Havrda
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:59 and never touched — 78.3% is still 78.3%
Graded at full timeAlexander Hejduk to win
78.3%
78.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAlexander Hejduk above · Cesta Havrda below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 86 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Alexander Hejduk at 78.3%
86 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Hejduk 4–1 Cesta Havrda Cesta Havrda has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:59What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Hejduk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Hejduk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hejduk 1064 vs Havrda 1060
Hejduk
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hejduk 40% vs Havrda 60%
Havrda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hejduk 20% vs Havrda 40%
Havrda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hejduk -1 · Havrda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Hejduk) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havrda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHejduk 1.20 / Havrda 4.33
Signal prob.80% / 21%
Edge (Hejduk)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13053068
Hejduk1.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 41 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Havrda4.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog20% won 11 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeHejduk4wins
AwayHavrda1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderHejduk leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHejduk100%3 of 3
AwayHavrdan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hejduk3Havrda2n = 5Hejduk took 3 of 5
S2Hejduk4Havrda1n = 5Hejduk took 4 of 5
S3Hejduk4Havrda1n = 5Hejduk took 4 of 5
S4Hejduk3Havrda1n = 4Hejduk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricHejdukHavrdaHejduk − HavrdaBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match39.231.8+7.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHejdukHavrdaBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 421 vs 105 / 25246.1%41.7%194 / 421 vs 105 / 252Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HejdukHejduk 1.20/Havrda 4.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.5%
Hejduk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Havrda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 1 · 11:30A. Hejduk—71111772C. Havrda—116411113
WDec 23 · 10:00A. Hejduk—1111113C. Havrda—8850
WDec 23 · 07:00A. Hejduk—11118123C. Havrda—8811101
WApr 15 · 08:00A. Hejduk—11811113C. Havrda—611691
WFeb 11 · 08:30A. Hejduk—41111113C. Havrda—112761
A. Hejduk10
LSep 7 · 07:30A. Hejduk2.20117881D. Mutl1.6191111113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Srba2.3811116113A. Hejduk1.53721171WSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030LSep 4 · 02:30A. Hejduk2.506790M. Vaclavik1.501111113LSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880WSep 4 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.331211113J. Strnad3.2510830WSep 3 · 23:00J. Cernik1.915770A. Hejduk1.801111113WSep 1 · 12:59C. Havrda3.759780A. Hejduk1.251111113LSep 1 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.67114511113A. Hejduk2.1081111562LSep 1 · 10:30J. Cernik2.001611113A. Hejduk1.7314850
C. Havrda10
LSep 1 · 12:59C. Havrda3.759780A. Hejduk1.251111113LSep 1 · 12:00C. Havrda2.509540J. Cernik1.501111113LSep 1 · 10:00C. Havrda2.209111081Z. Kasinski1.6111712113WAug 25 · 13:30M. Smesny2.00115612102C. Havrda1.739111110123WAug 25 · 12:00L. Novotny1.507470C. Havrda2.501111113WAug 25 · 11:00J. Strnad2.50912121442C. Havrda1.5011101016113LAug 25 · 10:30C. Havrda1.801091111112M. Smesny1.91121195133LAug 24 · 12:58C. Havrda1.44681171V. Kubat2.6311115113LAug 24 · 12:00J. Strnad2.6331111113C. Havrda1.44118591WAug 24 · 11:00V. Kubat2.6358100C. Havrda1.441111123
Upcoming Matches
A. Hejduk
C. Havrda
Nothing scheduled
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