TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13063660
Played Sep 4Finished
Alexander Hejduk
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711911––––
Miroslav Vaclavik
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:08 and never touched — 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vaclavik to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlexander Hejduk above · Miroslav Vaclavik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Miroslav Vaclavik at 62.3%
55 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Hejduk 5–8 Miroslav Vaclavik Alexander Hejduk has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vaclavik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Vaclavik
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hejduk 1091 vs Vaclavik 1252
Vaclavik
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hejduk 60% vs Vaclavik 40%
Hejduk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hejduk 50% vs Vaclavik 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hejduk -1 · Vaclavik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Vaclavik) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vaclavik form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHejduk 2.50 / Vaclavik 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Vaclavik)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13063660
Hejduk2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 57 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back30% 24 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back19% 9 of 47
Vaclavik1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 33 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it85% 29 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHejduk4wins
AwayVaclavik6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVaclavik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHejduk75%3 of 4
AwayVaclavik83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hejduk4Vaclavik6n = 10Vaclavik took 6 of 10
S2Hejduk7Vaclavik3n = 10Hejduk took 7 of 10
S3Hejduk4Vaclavik6n = 10Vaclavik took 6 of 10
S4Hejduk3Vaclavik5n = 8Vaclavik took 5 of 8
S5Hejduk1Vaclavik2n = 3Vaclavik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHejdukVaclavikH − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.840.7−0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHejdukVaclavikBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 422 vs 94 / 17746%53.1%194 / 422 vs 94 / 177Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclavikHejduk 2.50/Vaclavik 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Vaclavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vaclavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 01:00A. Hejduk—1011991M. Vaclavik—12911113
LJul 29 · 01:30A. Hejduk—712114112M. Vaclavik—1110711133
LJul 24 · 24:30A. Hejduk—9890M. Vaclavik—1111113
WJul 4 · 06:30A. Hejduk—111216143M. Vaclavik—61018121
LJun 17 · 03:00A. Hejduk—11116842M. Vaclavik—581111113
WJun 17 · 24:30A. Hejduk—124613113M. Vaclavik—1011111142
LJun 11 · 23:00A. Hejduk—7119101M. Vaclavik—11511123
LJun 3 · 02:30A. Hejduk—591181M. Vaclavik—11118113
WMay 29 · 02:00A. Hejduk—1111113M. Vaclavik—5990
WApr 13 · 24:30A. Hejduk—131111113M. Vaclavik—159581
A. Hejduk10
LSep 7 · 07:30A. Hejduk2.20117881D. Mutl1.6191111113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Srba2.3811116113A. Hejduk1.53721171WSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030LSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880WSep 4 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.331211113J. Strnad3.2510830WSep 3 · 23:00J. Cernik1.915770A. Hejduk1.801111113WSep 1 · 12:59C. Havrda3.759780A. Hejduk1.251111113LSep 1 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.67114511113A. Hejduk2.1081111562LSep 1 · 11:30A. Hejduk1.2071111772C. Havrda4.33116411113LSep 1 · 10:30J. Cernik2.001611113A. Hejduk1.7314850
M. Vaclavik10
WSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Strnad1.8339130M. Vaclavik1.831111153LSep 3 · 23:30M. Vaclavik1.918860J. Grohsgott1.801111113WSep 3 · 22:00M. Vaclavik1.401111133J. Cernik2.7585110LSep 2 · 12:59J. Grohsgott2.1051111143M. Vaclavik1.671172121LSep 2 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.809890D. Mutl1.911111113LSep 2 · 11:30J. Grohsgott2.3811137113M. Vaclavik1.537111171LSep 2 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.831311221M. Regner1.8315711113WAug 31 · 03:30M. Vaclavik1.5011119113J. Grohsgott2.45961131WAug 31 · 02:30J. Potensky2.00951141M. Vaclavik1.7311119113
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