TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13075265
Played Sep 4Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911119119811611
Miroslav Vaclavik
Away
1.65
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Miroslav Vaclavik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 96 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 13–13 Miroslav Vaclavik Dead even across their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:09What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Vaclavik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-13 in 26
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1265 vs Vaclavik 1260
Grohsgott
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 80% vs Vaclavik 60%
Grohsgott
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 70% vs Vaclavik 50%
Grohsgott
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott +4 · Vaclavik +2
Grohsgott
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vaclavik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 2.10 / Vaclavik 1.65
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Vaclavik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13075265
Grohsgott2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 140 of 368
Down 0–1, comes back22% 42 of 193
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 114
Vaclavik1.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 33 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it85% 29 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott5wins
AwayVaclavik5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott75%3 of 4
AwayVaclavik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott4Vaclavik6n = 10Vaclavik took 6 of 10
S2Grohsgott5Vaclavik5n = 10split evenly
S3Grohsgott4Vaclavik6n = 10Vaclavik took 6 of 10
S4Grohsgott4Vaclavik3n = 7Grohsgott took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottVaclavikG − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.336.0−1.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottVaclavikBasisWin rate · lifetime753 / 1540 vs 96 / 17948.9%53.6%753 / 1540 vs 96 / 179Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclavikGrohsgott 2.10/Vaclavik 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56%
Vaclavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vaclavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 23:30J. Grohsgott—1111113M. Vaclavik—8860
WSep 2 · 12:59J. Grohsgott—51111143M. Vaclavik—1172121
WSep 2 · 11:30J. Grohsgott—11137113M. Vaclavik—7111171
LAug 31 · 03:30J. Grohsgott—961131M. Vaclavik—11119113
WAug 30 · 22:00J. Grohsgott—1091111113M. Vaclavik—12119662
LAug 29 · 15:00J. Grohsgott—9115111M. Vaclavik—11911133
WJul 28 · 23:30J. Grohsgott—11115113M. Vaclavik—851161
LJul 23 · 22:00J. Grohsgott—115781M. Vaclavik—91111113
LJul 19 · 16:58J. Grohsgott—41090M. Vaclavik—1112113
LJul 19 · 16:30J. Grohsgott—53100M. Vaclavik—1111123
J. Grohsgott10
WSep 8 · 12:00J. Grohsgott1.7311611113P. Sudek2.00511451WSep 8 · 11:30J. Svec2.10781151J. Grohsgott1.6711119113WSep 8 · 10:00J. Grohsgott2.2571111113L. Madle1.57119991LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133
M. Vaclavik10
LSep 8 · 09:30M. Vaclavik1.4045111192M. Smesny2.75111174113WSep 8 · 08:00M. Vaclavik1.50118914113L. Novotny2.50911111272WSep 8 · 07:30M. Smesny2.385760M. Vaclavik1.531111113LSep 8 · 06:00M. Vaclavik1.407121091A. Hejduk2.75111012113LSep 7 · 13:00M. Vaclavik2.756950M. Regner1.401111113WSep 7 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.61771111113D. Mutl2.2011116852LSep 7 · 11:30M. Regner1.611111113M. Vaclavik2.205540LSep 7 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.5711115111M. Lubas2.2591311133WSep 4 · 02:30A. Hejduk2.506790M. Vaclavik1.501111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Strnad1.8339130M. Vaclavik1.831111153
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