TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077682
Played Sep 5Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131181311––––
Vojtech Stach
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Vojtech Stach below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 57 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 6–2 Vojtech Stach Vojtech Stach has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:00What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Grohsgott
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Grohsgott
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1200 vs Stach 1183
Grohsgott
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 40% vs Stach 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 60% vs Stach 40%
Grohsgott
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott +1 · Stach -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Grohsgott) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 1.67 / Stach 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Grohsgott)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077682
Grohsgott1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 157 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it96% 90 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it82% 117 of 142
Stach2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog54% won 20 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeGrohsgott6wins
AwayStach2wins
2 of 8 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 6–2, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott85.7%6 of 7
AwayStachn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott7Stach1n = 8Grohsgott took 7 of 8
S2Grohsgott8Stach0n = 8Grohsgott took 8 of 8
S3Grohsgott4Stach4n = 8split evenly
S4Grohsgott1Stach3n = 4Stach took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home450%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricGrohsgottStachG − SBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set71+6of 8Avg pointsper match39.132.9+6.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottStachBasisWin rate · lifetime756 / 1548 vs 64 / 12348.8%52%756 / 1548 vs 64 / 123Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.235.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottGrohsgott 1.67/Stach 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott—1111133V. Stach—38110
WSep 5 · 10:30J. Grohsgott—1311113V. Stach—11470
LAug 30 · 02:00J. Grohsgott—1411461V. Stach—16511113
LAug 29 · 16:59J. Grohsgott—161210792V. Stach—14101211113
WAug 29 · 16:30J. Grohsgott—1111123V. Stach—98100
WAug 27 · 06:00J. Grohsgott—11116123V. Stach—2411101
WAug 25 · 22:00J. Grohsgott—111177113V. Stach—57111162
WAug 25 · 08:00J. Grohsgott—1111113V. Stach—9870
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880WSep 4 · 24:30J. Cernik3.4081310J. Grohsgott1.301115113
V. Stach10
WSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113WSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101LSep 5 · 14:00V. Stach2.509790M. Regner1.501111113WSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:00L. Havrda1.5728100V. Stach2.251111123LSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda1.851111113V. Stach1.856380WAug 30 · 02:00J. Grohsgott1.671411461V. Stach2.1016511113WAug 30 · 24:30V. Stach1.911111113D. Mutl1.806980
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