TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065212
Played Sep 4Finished
Jaromir Cernik
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111315111––––
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:34 and never touched — 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaromir Cernik above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 1-11
Point 59 set 3, 1-11 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 71.2%
59 points played in total.
H2H Jaromir Cernik 54–120 Jiri Grohsgott Jaromir Cernik has won 54 of their 174 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:34What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Grohsgott
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-120 in 174
Grohsgott
Correct
gap of 66 in 174, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cernik 1095 vs Grohsgott 1248
Grohsgott
Correct
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cernik 20% vs Grohsgott 60%
Grohsgott
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cernik 40% vs Grohsgott 70%
Grohsgott
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cernik -3 · Grohsgott +2
Cernik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Grohsgott) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCernik 3.40 / Grohsgott 1.30
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Grohsgott)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065212
Cernik3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 46 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 67
Grohsgott1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 157 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it96% 89 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it82% 116 of 142
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCernik3wins
AwayGrohsgott7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCernikn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayGrohsgott77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cernik1Grohsgott9n = 10Grohsgott took 9 of 10
S2Cernik2Grohsgott8n = 10Grohsgott took 8 of 10
S3Cernik4Grohsgott6n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S4Cernik2Grohsgott2n = 4split evenly
S5Cernik2Grohsgott1n = 3Cernik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricCernikGrohsgottC − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match29.935.6−5.7per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernikGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime370 / 811 vs 751 / 154045.6%48.8%370 / 811 vs 751 / 1540Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottCernik 3.40/Grohsgott 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.7%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 12:00J. Cernik—811117113J. Grohsgott—11641162
WJul 26 · 22:30J. Cernik—81211113J. Grohsgott—1110761
LJul 24 · 02:58J. Cernik—89111282J. Grohsgott—1111910113
WJul 24 · 01:00J. Cernik—117116113J. Grohsgott—81121122
LJul 3 · 01:30J. Cernik—3470J. Grohsgott—1111113
LJun 28 · 10:30J. Cernik—7690J. Grohsgott—1111113
LJun 2 · 10:30J. Cernik—5940J. Grohsgott—1111113
LMay 13 · 10:30J. Cernik—8940J. Grohsgott—1111113
LMay 13 · 08:00J. Cernik—5660J. Grohsgott—1111113
LMay 10 · 22:30J. Cernik—5990J. Grohsgott—1111113
J. Cernik10
LSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030WSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113LSep 3 · 23:00J. Cernik1.915770A. Hejduk1.801111113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Vaclavik1.401111133J. Cernik2.7585110LSep 1 · 13:30Z. Kasinski1.401111113J. Cernik2.759670WSep 1 · 12:00C. Havrda2.509540J. Cernik1.501111113LSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.801111113J. Cernik1.918860WSep 1 · 10:30J. Cernik2.001611113A. Hejduk1.7314850WSep 1 · 09:03J. Cernik1.5381111113J. Strnad2.38113891WSep 1 · 08:00J. Cernik1.441111113J. Strnad2.638380
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880
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