TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065194
Played Sep 4Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118118––––
Alexander Hejduk
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:34 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Alexander Hejduk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 59.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 43–38 Alexander Hejduk Alexander Hejduk has won 38 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:34What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Grohsgott
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-38 in 81
Grohsgott
Correct
gap of 5 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1257 vs Hejduk 1099
Grohsgott
Correct
both rated, 158 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 80% vs Hejduk 60%
Grohsgott
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 70% vs Hejduk 50%
Grohsgott
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott +3 · Hejduk +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Grohsgott) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hejduk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 1.67 / Hejduk 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Grohsgott)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065194
Grohsgott1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 157 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it96% 89 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it82% 116 of 142
Hejduk2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 57 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back30% 24 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back19% 9 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott8wins
AwayHejduk2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott87.5%7 of 8
AwayHejdukn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott8Hejduk2n = 10Grohsgott took 8 of 10
S2Grohsgott4Hejduk6n = 10Hejduk took 6 of 10
S3Grohsgott8Hejduk2n = 10Grohsgott took 8 of 10
S4Grohsgott4Hejduk4n = 8split evenly
S5Grohsgott3Hejduk1n = 4Grohsgott took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottHejdukG − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.634.4+7.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottHejdukBasisWin rate · lifetime752 / 1540 vs 194 / 42148.8%46.1%752 / 1540 vs 194 / 421Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottGrohsgott 1.67/Hejduk 2.10
Hit
What we said
57%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 07:30J. Grohsgott—1111113A. Hejduk—6580
WAug 25 · 23:00J. Grohsgott—117812113A. Hejduk—711111082
WAug 23 · 13:28J. Grohsgott—11185113A. Hejduk—4161151
WAug 23 · 11:30J. Grohsgott—114119113A. Hejduk—91161182
WJul 29 · 02:30J. Grohsgott—11913113A. Hejduk—7111141
WJul 27 · 24:30J. Grohsgott—911118113A. Hejduk—11781172
LJul 23 · 23:30J. Grohsgott—111011682A. Hejduk—612311113
WJul 16 · 23:30J. Grohsgott—1111113A. Hejduk—2350
LJul 12 · 22:00J. Grohsgott—671161A. Hejduk—11119113
WJun 4 · 23:00J. Grohsgott—11711113A. Hejduk—411461
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 24:30J. Cernik3.4081310J. Grohsgott1.301115113
A. Hejduk10
LSep 7 · 07:30A. Hejduk2.20117881D. Mutl1.6191111113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Srba2.3811116113A. Hejduk1.53721171WSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030LSep 4 · 02:30A. Hejduk2.506790M. Vaclavik1.501111113WSep 4 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.331211113J. Strnad3.2510830WSep 3 · 23:00J. Cernik1.915770A. Hejduk1.801111113WSep 1 · 12:59C. Havrda3.759780A. Hejduk1.251111113LSep 1 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.67114511113A. Hejduk2.1081111562LSep 1 · 11:30A. Hejduk1.2071111772C. Havrda4.33116411113LSep 1 · 10:30J. Cernik2.001611113A. Hejduk1.7314850
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