TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077695
Played Sep 5Finished
Michal Syroha
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111131191012911
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:00 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Syroha above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 8-8
Point 92 set 5, 8-8 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 56.2%
92 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Michal Syroha 34–32 Jiri Grohsgott Jiri Grohsgott has won 32 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:00What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Grohsgott
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-32 in 66
Syroha
Wrong
gap of 2 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syroha 1194 vs Grohsgott 1200
Grohsgott
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syroha 80% vs Grohsgott 20%
Syroha
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syroha 70% vs Grohsgott 50%
Syroha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syroha -1 · Grohsgott -3
Grohsgott
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Grohsgott) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyroha 1.91 / Grohsgott 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Grohsgott)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077695
Syroha1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 87 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back29% 38 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back15% 12 of 80
Grohsgott1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 157 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it96% 90 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it82% 117 of 142
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyroha3wins
AwayGrohsgott7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyroha66.7%2 of 3
AwayGrohsgott85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syroha3Grohsgott7n = 10Grohsgott took 7 of 10
S2Syroha2Grohsgott8n = 10Grohsgott took 8 of 10
S3Syroha5Grohsgott5n = 10split evenly
S4Syroha3Grohsgott3n = 6split evenly
S5Syroha1Grohsgott2n = 3Grohsgott took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyrohaGrohsgottS − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.738.4−5.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyrohaGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime338 / 679 vs 756 / 154849.8%48.8%338 / 679 vs 756 / 1548Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottSyroha 1.91/Grohsgott 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha—911111092J. Grohsgott—113912113
WSep 5 · 11:30M. Syroha—11811133J. Grohsgott—9119111
LAug 23 · 17:00M. Syroha—3340J. Grohsgott—1111113
LAug 23 · 16:00M. Syroha—41112362J. Grohsgott—1181011113
WAug 22 · 06:00M. Syroha—2101111113J. Grohsgott—11128622
WAug 18 · 22:30M. Syroha—11311113J. Grohsgott—411641
LAug 13 · 21:30M. Syroha—11117111J. Grohsgott—81311133
LAug 13 · 19:00M. Syroha—2690J. Grohsgott—1111113
LAug 12 · 02:30M. Syroha—5780J. Grohsgott—1111113
LJul 29 · 20:00M. Syroha—611130J. Grohsgott—1113153
M. Syroha10
LSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101WSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113LSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.731161071M. Syroha2.0091112113LSep 3 · 24:30M. Syroha1.57119811102P. Kulhanek2.25411118123
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880WSep 4 · 24:30J. Cernik3.4081310J. Grohsgott1.301115113
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