TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076850
Played Sep 5Finished
Vojtech Stach
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113411711––––
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:18 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Stach above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 57 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 62.8%
57 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Stach 2–4 Jiri Grohsgott Vojtech Stach has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Grohsgott
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Grohsgott
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stach 1165 vs Grohsgott 1254
Grohsgott
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stach 40% vs Grohsgott 80%
Grohsgott
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stach 50% vs Grohsgott 70%
Grohsgott
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stach -1 · Grohsgott -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Grohsgott) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStach 2.10 / Grohsgott 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Grohsgott)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076850
Stach2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 20 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Grohsgott1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 157 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it96% 90 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it82% 117 of 142
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeStach2wins
AwayGrohsgott4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStachn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayGrohsgott80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stach1Grohsgott5n = 6Grohsgott took 5 of 6
S2Stach0Grohsgott6n = 6Grohsgott took 6 of 6
S3Stach4Grohsgott2n = 6Stach took 4 of 6
S4Stach3Grohsgott1n = 4Stach took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricStachGrohsgottS − GBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match36.540.5−4.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 131 vs 753 / 154051.9%48.9%68 / 131 vs 753 / 1540Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.436.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottStach 2.10/Grohsgott 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 30 · 02:00V. Stach—16511113J. Grohsgott—1411461
WAug 29 · 16:59V. Stach—14101211113J. Grohsgott—161210792
LAug 29 · 16:30V. Stach—98100J. Grohsgott—1111123
LAug 27 · 06:00V. Stach—2411101J. Grohsgott—11116123
LAug 25 · 22:00V. Stach—57111162J. Grohsgott—111177113
LAug 25 · 08:00V. Stach—9870J. Grohsgott—1111113
V. Stach10
WSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113WSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101LSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110LSep 5 · 14:00V. Stach2.509790M. Regner1.501111113WSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:00L. Havrda1.5728100V. Stach2.251111123LAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda1.851111113V. Stach1.856380WAug 30 · 02:00J. Grohsgott1.671411461V. Stach2.1016511113WAug 30 · 24:30V. Stach1.911111113D. Mutl1.806980
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880LAug 30 · 02:00J. Grohsgott1.671411461V. Stach2.1016511113
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