TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076271
Played Sep 5Finished
Vojtech Stach
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711911––––
Milan Regner
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Regner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Stach above · Milan Regner below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Milan Regner at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Stach 0–1 Milan Regner Vojtech Stach has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:08What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Regner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stach 1183 vs Regner 1223
Regner
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stach 40% vs Regner 60%
Regner
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stach 50% vs Regner 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stach +1 · Regner +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Regner) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStach 2.50 / Regner 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Regner)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076271
Stach2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog54% won 20 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Regner1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 77 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it78% 55 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStach0wins
AwayRegner1wins
Regner leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricStachRegnerS − RBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match25.033.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 123 vs 242 / 52252%46.4%64 / 123 vs 242 / 522Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.436.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerStach 2.50/Regner 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 5 · 14:00V. Stach—9790M. Regner—1111113
V. Stach10
WSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113WSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101LSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:00L. Havrda1.5728100V. Stach2.251111123LSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda1.851111113V. Stach1.856380WAug 30 · 02:00J. Grohsgott1.671411461V. Stach2.1016511113WAug 30 · 24:30V. Stach1.911111113D. Mutl1.806980
M. Regner10
WSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113WSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172LSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113WSep 2 · 13:28D. Mutl2.1061180M. Regner1.671113113WSep 2 · 12:30M. Regner1.3091311113J. Grohsgott3.401111451LSep 2 · 11:00M. Regner1.44811681D. Mutl2.6311311113WSep 2 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.831311221M. Regner1.8315711113LAug 30 · 16:58M. Barta2.75114611113M. Regner1.4051111962LAug 30 · 16:30J. Svec2.001113113M. Regner1.7371160WAug 30 · 15:30M. Regner1.5711117113M. Barta2.25341151
Upcoming Matches
V. Stach
Nothing scheduled
M. Regner
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.