TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077444
Played Sep 5Finished
Leos Havrda
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
2118111012––––
Vojtech Stach
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:09 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeLeos Havrda to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLeos Havrda above · Vojtech Stach below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 54 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Leos Havrda at 55.8%
54 points played in total.
H2H Leos Havrda 3–3 Vojtech Stach Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Havrda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Havrda 1266 vs Stach 1136
Havrda
Wrong
both rated, 130 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Havrda 60% vs Stach 40%
Havrda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Havrda 70% vs Stach 40%
Havrda
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Havrda -1 · Stach -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Havrda) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHavrda 1.57 / Stach 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Havrda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077444
Havrda1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 41 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it83% 33 of 40
Stach2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 20 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeHavrda3wins
AwayStach3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHavrda50%2 of 4
AwayStachn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Havrda4Stach2n = 6Havrda took 4 of 6
S2Havrda4Stach2n = 6Havrda took 4 of 6
S3Havrda4Stach2n = 6Havrda took 4 of 6
S4Havrda2Stach2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricHavrdaStachH − SBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match38.332.5+5.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHavrdaStachBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 490 vs 60 / 11644.9%51.7%220 / 490 vs 60 / 116Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HavrdaHavrda 1.57/Stach 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Havrda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda—1111113V. Stach—6380
WAug 29 · 22:00L. Havrda—71111113V. Stach—113581
LAug 22 · 03:28L. Havrda—11149722V. Stach—6121111113
LAug 22 · 24:30L. Havrda—11871182V. Stach—511113113
LAug 15 · 12:30L. Havrda—1091161V. Stach—12116113
WAug 23 · 01:00L. Havrda—1111113V. Stach—4780
L. Havrda10
WSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113WSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda1.851111113V. Stach1.856380WAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113WAug 30 · 01:00J. Grohsgott1.675860L. Havrda2.101111113LAug 29 · 23:30L. Havrda2.25991391D. Mutl1.57111111113WAug 29 · 22:00L. Havrda2.1071111113V. Stach1.67113581LAug 23 · 09:30L. Havrda1.22161111842J. Martinek4.00189611113WAug 23 · 08:00L. Havrda1.611111113J. Cernik2.202770
V. Stach10
WSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113WSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101LSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110LSep 5 · 14:00V. Stach2.509790M. Regner1.501111113WSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112LSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda1.851111113V. Stach1.856380WAug 30 · 02:00J. Grohsgott1.671411461V. Stach2.1016511113LAug 29 · 22:00L. Havrda2.1071111113V. Stach1.67113581
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