TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12475596
Played Aug 23Finished
Leos Havrda
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112117117––––
Jaromir Cernik
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:29 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeLeos Havrda to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
49 points played in total.
Set by set
112117117––––
H2H Leos Havrda 18–16 Jaromir Cernik Jaromir Cernik has won 16 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Havrda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-16 in 34
Havrda
Correct
gap of 2 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Havrda 1225 vs Cernik 1138
Havrda
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Havrda 60% vs Cernik 20%
Havrda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Havrda 60% vs Cernik 40%
Havrda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Havrda +2 · Cernik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Havrda) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cernik form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHavrda 1.61 / Cernik 2.20
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Havrda)+9.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12475596
Havrda1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 39 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it80% 31 of 39
Cernik2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 44 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHavrda4wins
AwayCernik6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCernik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHavrda60%3 of 5
AwayCernik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Havrda5Cernik5n = 10split evenly
S2Havrda7Cernik3n = 10Havrda took 7 of 10
S3Havrda6Cernik4n = 10Havrda took 6 of 10
S4Havrda0Cernik6n = 6Cernik took 6 of 6
S5Havrda1Cernik2n = 3Cernik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHavrdaCernikH − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.636.6−1.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHavrdaCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 500 vs 376 / 81144.6%46.4%223 / 500 vs 376 / 811Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HavrdaHavrda 1.61/Cernik 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.7%
Havrda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Havrda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 13:04L. Havrda—1212113J. Cernik—101060
LAug 15 · 11:00L. Havrda—11118672J. Cernik—581111113
LJul 11 · 12:00L. Havrda—5570J. Cernik—1111113
LJun 28 · 12:30L. Havrda—1161181J. Cernik—13116113
WMay 30 · 13:07L. Havrda—1415113J. Cernik—121360
WMay 30 · 12:00L. Havrda—411113113J. Cernik—11821192
LMar 8 · 01:00L. Havrda—111127112J. Cernik—981111133
WFeb 21 · 14:30L. Havrda—1111113J. Cernik—5640
LFeb 21 · 12:30L. Havrda—8511101J. Cernik—11113123
LFeb 13 · 23:00L. Havrda—1111681J. Cernik—13911113
L. Havrda10
WSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113WSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:00L. Havrda1.5728100V. Stach2.251111123LSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda1.851111113V. Stach1.856380WAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113WAug 30 · 01:00J. Grohsgott1.675860L. Havrda2.101111113LAug 29 · 23:30L. Havrda2.25991391D. Mutl1.57111111113WAug 29 · 22:00L. Havrda2.1071111113V. Stach1.67113581LAug 23 · 09:30L. Havrda1.22161111842J. Martinek4.00189611113
J. Cernik10
LSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030WSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113LSep 4 · 24:30J. Cernik3.4081310J. Grohsgott1.301115113LSep 3 · 23:00J. Cernik1.915770A. Hejduk1.801111113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Vaclavik1.401111133J. Cernik2.7585110LSep 1 · 13:30Z. Kasinski1.401111113J. Cernik2.759670WSep 1 · 12:00C. Havrda2.509540J. Cernik1.501111113LSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.801111113J. Cernik1.918860WSep 1 · 10:30J. Cernik2.001611113A. Hejduk1.7314850WSep 1 · 09:03J. Cernik1.5381111113J. Strnad2.38113891
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