TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13036950
Played Aug 30Finished
Josef Pelikan
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911111411––––
Leos Havrda
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:50 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeJosef Pelikan to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJosef Pelikan above · Leos Havrda below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 47 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Josef Pelikan at 54.9%
47 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:50What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pelikan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Pelikan 1214 vs Havrda 1245
Havrda
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelikan 40% vs Havrda 60%
Havrda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelikan 30% vs Havrda 60%
Havrda
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelikan +1 · Havrda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pelikan) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havrda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelikan 1.61 / Havrda 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Pelikan)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13036950
Pelikan1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 43 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Havrda2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 43 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back13% 7 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelikanHavrdaBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 293 vs 222 / 49247.8%45.1%140 / 293 vs 222 / 492Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelikanPelikan 1.61/Havrda 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Pelikan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Havrda won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Pelikan10
WSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:00J. Grohsgott2.001111113J. Pelikan1.732880WSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 30 · 03:00D. Mutl2.2061211123J. Pelikan1.6111109101WAug 30 · 01:30D. Mutl2.0011891372J. Pelikan1.739111111113LAug 30 · 24:00J. Pelikan1.675860J. Grohsgott2.101111113WAug 29 · 23:00V. Stach1.8069131192J. Pelikan1.911111112113LJul 22 · 18:00P. Franc1.53111011113J. Pelikan2.38812691LJul 22 · 02:58J. Potensky1.6712117113J. Pelikan2.101051181
L. Havrda10
WSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113WSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:00L. Havrda1.5728100V. Stach2.251111123LSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda1.851111113V. Stach1.856380WAug 30 · 01:00J. Grohsgott1.675860L. Havrda2.101111113LAug 29 · 23:30L. Havrda2.25991391D. Mutl1.57111111113WAug 29 · 22:00L. Havrda2.1071111113V. Stach1.67113581LAug 23 · 09:30L. Havrda1.22161111842J. Martinek4.00189611113WAug 23 · 08:00L. Havrda1.611111113J. Cernik2.202770
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