Jan Potensky vs Josef Pelikan 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #12279535

Played Jul 22Finished

Jan Potensky

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1210115711118––

Josef Pelikan

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingJan Potensky above · Josef Pelikan below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 75 set 4, 11-8

75 points played in total.

H2H Jan Potensky 15–9 Josef Pelikan Josef Pelikan has won 9 of their 24 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Potensky)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pelikan form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPotensky 1.67 / Pelikan 2.10

Signal prob.59% / 41%

Edge (Potensky)+3.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #12279535

Potensky1.67

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite53% won 60 of 114

Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42

Up 1–0, closes it83% 48 of 58

Pelikan2.10

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog41% won 34 of 83

Down 0–1, comes back23% 12 of 52

Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePotensky6wins

AwayPelikan4wins

Potensky leads 6–4.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePotensky85.7%6 of 7

AwayPelikan100%3 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Potensky7Pelikan3n = 10Potensky took 7 of 10

S2Potensky5Pelikan5n = 10split evenly

S3Potensky5Pelikan5n = 10split evenly

S4Potensky2Pelikan1n = 3Potensky took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricPotenskyPelikanPotensky − PelikanBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match31.229.1+2.1per matchSweeps43+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPotenskyPelikanBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 487 vs 146 / 30947.2%47.3%230 / 487 vs 146 / 309Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.234.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Potensky

Potensky 1.67/Pelikan 2.10

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

58.8%

Potensky · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Potensky won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WJul 22 · 02:00J. Potensky—11114113J. Pelikan—851181

WJul 20 · 24:30J. Potensky—111011113J. Pelikan—312781

WJul 13 · 24:00J. Potensky—1111113J. Pelikan—7530

LMay 18 · 24:00J. Potensky—9570J. Pelikan—1111113

WMay 14 · 01:30J. Potensky—1412113J. Pelikan—121040

LMay 7 · 03:29J. Potensky—86100J. Pelikan—1111123

WMay 6 · 23:00J. Potensky—1113123J. Pelikan—611100

LMay 4 · 23:30J. Potensky—128541J. Pelikan—101111113

LApr 29 · 24:30J. Potensky—5860J. Pelikan—1111113

WApr 23 · 24:30J. Potensky—1111113J. Pelikan—5760

J. Potensky10

LAug 31 · 03:00J. Potensky1.6011391192A. Hejduk2.20411119113 LAug 31 · 02:30J. Potensky2.00951141M. Vaclavik1.7311119113 WAug 31 · 01:30D. Mutl1.91811771J. Potensky1.8011511113 WAug 31 · 24:00J. Potensky1.53111143163A. Hejduk2.38751111142 LAug 30 · 23:00J. Grohsgott1.83111110113J. Potensky1.83951261 WAug 27 · 09:30J. Potensky1.8371111113J. Grohsgott1.83117331 WAug 27 · 08:00J. Grohsgott1.678780J. Potensky2.101111113 WAug 27 · 07:00V. Stach1.91811781J. Potensky1.8011511113 WAug 27 · 06:30J. Potensky1.5751211113A. Hejduk2.251110671 LAug 24 · 09:28J. Svec1.8311514113J. Potensky1.834111251

J. Pelikan10

WSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452 LSep 3 · 20:00J. Grohsgott2.001111113J. Pelikan1.732880 WSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113 LSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113 LAug 30 · 03:00D. Mutl2.2061211123J. Pelikan1.6111109101 LAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113 WAug 30 · 01:30D. Mutl2.0011891372J. Pelikan1.739111111113 LAug 30 · 24:00J. Pelikan1.675860J. Grohsgott2.101111113 WAug 29 · 23:00V. Stach1.8069131192J. Pelikan1.911111112113 LJul 22 · 18:00P. Franc1.53111011113J. Pelikan2.38812691

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