TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13040813
Played Aug 30Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191151012116––
Jan Potensky
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Potensky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Jan Potensky below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 75 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Jan Potensky at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 28–30 Jan Potensky Jiri Grohsgott has won 28 of their 58 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:27What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Potensky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-30 in 58
Potensky
Wrong
gap of 2 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1158 vs Potensky 1218
Potensky
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 40% vs Potensky 80%
Potensky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 30% vs Potensky 60%
Potensky
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott +1 · Potensky +4
Potensky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Potensky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Potensky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 1.83 / Potensky 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Potensky)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13040813
Grohsgott1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Potensky1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott7wins
AwayPotensky3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott100%4 of 4
AwayPotensky50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott4Potensky6n = 10Potensky took 6 of 10
S2Grohsgott8Potensky2n = 10Grohsgott took 8 of 10
S3Grohsgott8Potensky2n = 10Grohsgott took 8 of 10
S4Grohsgott4Potensky2n = 6Grohsgott took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottPotenskyG − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.529.2+6.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottPotenskyBasisWin rate · lifetime744 / 1540 vs 229 / 48048.3%47.7%744 / 1540 vs 229 / 480Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.235.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PotenskyGrohsgott 1.83/Potensky 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Potensky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 08:00J. Grohsgott—8780J. Potensky—1111113
WAug 24 · 08:00J. Grohsgott—71211113J. Potensky—1110451
WAug 11 · 09:06J. Grohsgott—41111113J. Potensky—115971
LAug 11 · 06:00J. Grohsgott—31111892J. Potensky—114611113
LAug 6 · 07:30J. Grohsgott—611861J. Potensky—11511113
WJul 29 · 03:30J. Grohsgott—81111113J. Potensky—115751
WJul 29 · 01:00J. Grohsgott—1111113J. Potensky—9950
WJul 26 · 23:30J. Grohsgott—1111113J. Potensky—6720
WJul 24 · 02:30J. Grohsgott—11811113J. Potensky—211291
WJul 20 · 02:59J. Grohsgott—1111113J. Potensky—9980
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880
J. Potensky10
LAug 31 · 03:00J. Potensky1.6011391192A. Hejduk2.20411119113LAug 31 · 02:30J. Potensky2.00951141M. Vaclavik1.7311119113WAug 31 · 01:30D. Mutl1.91811771J. Potensky1.8011511113WAug 31 · 24:00J. Potensky1.53111143163A. Hejduk2.38751111142WAug 27 · 09:30J. Potensky1.8371111113J. Grohsgott1.83117331WAug 27 · 08:00J. Grohsgott1.678780J. Potensky2.101111113WAug 27 · 07:00V. Stach1.91811781J. Potensky1.8011511113WAug 27 · 06:30J. Potensky1.5751211113A. Hejduk2.251110671LAug 24 · 09:28J. Svec1.8311514113J. Potensky1.834111251LAug 24 · 08:00J. Grohsgott1.6771211113J. Potensky2.101110451
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